Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 14

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadshagens IP (Vasastaden)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Karlberg		Piteå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.50	5.00
	1.43	4.30	5.60	Watch
	1.44	4.85	6.53
	1.39	5.18	6.32	Watch
	1.44	4.00	5.80
	1.40	4.15	6.92	Watch
	1.47	4.28	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.55)	4.47 ↑ (4.05)	5.91 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlberg
64%

Draw
20.5%

Piteå
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlberg's performance.

Piteå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Karlberg - Piteå Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Karlberg will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlberg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Bojang E. (G) 7. Fernandez H. 5. Geiger N. 11. Mitku M. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 21. Nilsson F. 24. Sietsema L. 3. Steen V. (C) 13. Sundgren R. 16. Vainio N.	31. Eriksson F. (G) 21. Bergstrom H. 24. Ingemarson A. 6. Jamehdar S. 10. Johansson F. 28. Jordan L. 5. Kavur B. 2. Millbert H. (C) 11. Mujaguzi C. 7. Muyenga A. 19. Wikstrom I.
Substitutes
4. Backman A. 27. Erlandsson A. 14. Fati A. 1. Gkoulios A. (G) 15. Hall V. 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A.	8. Berglund C. 17. Berntzen T. 18. Johnson J. 23. Lindgren L. 22. Lundmark O. 99. Svard L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Vainio N. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Mitku M. ⚽,
42', Wikstrom I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Muyenga A. ⚽, Jordan L. (A),
60', Wikstrom I. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
65', Mitku M. ↓, Jamshidi A. ↑,
66', Nilsson F. 🟨,
69', Eriksson F. 🟨,
70', 3 - 1, Jamshidi A. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Bergstrom H. ↓, Berglund C. ↑,
75', Vainio N. ↓, Hall V. ↑,
81', Mujaguzi C. ↓, Berntzen T. ↑,
90', Nilsson F. ↓, Backman A. ↑,
90+3', Hall V. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Piteå may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Karlberg is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karlberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Karlberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Karlbergs	26	9	6	11	36:44	-8	33
14	Pitea	25	5	7	13	30:46	-16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.06.26	Vasalund - Karlberg	0:4 ✺
14.06.26	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlberg	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Karlberg - FBK Karlstad	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLTL
- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
21.06.26	Piteå - AFC Eskilstuna	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	Umeå - Piteå	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Piteå - Enköping	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Piteå - Stockholm Internazionale	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Sollentuna - Piteå	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.09.24	Piteå - Karlberg	1:1
07.04.24	Karlberg - Piteå	1:0

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