Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Karlsruher		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.55	3.6	2.55
	2.82	3.45	2.3	Watch
	3.07	3.55	2.4
	2.92	3.55	2.33	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.4
	2.53	3.42	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.51)	3.45 ↓ (3.62)	2.4 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
33.6%

Draw
27.3%

Dynamo Dresden
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	40.9%	13.6%

Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Himmelmann R. (G) 2. Jung S. 5. Ambrosius S. 28. Franke M. 22. Kobald C. 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 8. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 9. Simic R. 19. Ben Farhat L.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 13. Pauli J. 39. Keller T. 19. Rossipal A. 18. Wagner R. 6. Amoako K. 7. Ceka J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 20. Bobzien B. 9. Vermeij V.
Substitutes
25. Egloff L. 11. Forster P. 18. Koch A. (G) 16. Muller A. 17. Opitz L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 6. Rapp N. 24. Schleusener F. 15. Scholl P.	40. Bethke E. (G) 29. Boeder L. 33. Daferner C. 2. Faber K. 16. Froling N. 8. Herrmann L. 30. Kutschke S. 24. Menzel T. 28. Risch S.
Coaches
Eichner C.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Hauptmann N. ⚽, Rossipal A. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Wanitzek M. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 1 - 2, Ceka J. ⚽, Wagner R. (A),
44', 1 - 3, Hauptmann N. ⚽, Vermeij V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kobald C. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
51', Burnic D. 🟨,
66', Burnic D. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
68', 2 - 3, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Simic R. (A),
69', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
77', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
85', Bobzien B. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
85', Ceka J. ↓, Risch S. ↑,
85', Simic R. ↓, Egloff L. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 3, Wanitzek M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Rapp N. ↑,
90+7', Ben Farhat L. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Karlsruher may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Knee Injury) Bernat C. (Yellow Cards) Rapp N. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Lemmer J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Karlsruher: Egloff L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5
17	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6:12	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Karlsruher - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.26	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
27.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Hannover - Dynamo Dresden	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	3:3
08.05.22	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
05.12.21	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	3:1
29.01.20	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	1:0
03.08.19	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	4:2
14.05.17	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	3:4
09.12.16	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	0:0

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