Match Info

MOL Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina)

Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4


	Karviná		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.63
	2.38	3.35	2.78
	2.37	3.35	2.85
	2.91	2.27	3.51	Watch
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.42	3.3	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 (2.47)	3.11 ↓ (3.22)	2.89 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
37.8%

Draw
30%

Baník Ostrava
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Karviná - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuman V. (G) 6. Bohac S. 44. Skyba Y. 49. Camara S. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 99. Prebsl F. 4. Traore A. 11. Kacor P. 10. Samko D. 14. Ayaosi E. 20. Kahuan Vinicius	23. Jedlicka M. (G) 37. Chalus M. 17. Frydrych M. (C) 6. Pojezny K. 66. Rusnak M. 5. Boula J. 80. Kricfalusi O. 95. Holzer D. 34. Bewene A. 18. Planka D. 12. Gning A.
Substitutes
24. Chytry J. 31. Conde O. 26. Ezeh L. 29. Fiala J. 93. Konate F. 8. Kristan J. 30. Lapes J. (G) 3. Lawali Y. 19. Milic N. 34. Mrozek O. (G) 21. Sloncik S.	9. Buchta D. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 2. Havran M. 15. Jurecka V. 3. Kante H. 55. Musak A. 20. Ortiz P. 29. Pira J. 10. Plavsic S. 19. Sancl F. 99. Sinyavskiy V.
Coaches
Jarolim M.	Smetana O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Kricfalusi O. 🟨,
50', Pojezny K. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Kacor P. ⚽, Samko D. (A),
69', Bohac S. 🟨,
69', Rusnak M. ↓, Jurecka V. ↑,
74', Chalus M. 🟥,
78', Holzer D. ↓, Sinyavskiy V. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Kahuan Vinicius ⚽, Prebsl F. (A),
84', Kacor P. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
84', Samko D. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Kricfalusi O. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Bohac S. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
90+1', Planka D. 🟨,
90+2', Prebsl F. 🟨,
90+3', Ayaosi E. ↓, Milic N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.

Karviná has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baník Ostrava is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Karviná: Sigut S. (Suspended) Storman R. (Injury)

There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F. (Knee Injury) Latal D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Karviná: Labik A. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Kohut M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech 1 Liga
18.04.26	Dukla Prague - Karviná	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Karviná - Slovan Liberec	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sparta Prague - Karviná	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Karviná	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Karviná - Pardubice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLTL
- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
18.04.26	Baník Ostrava - Bohemians 1905	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Jablonec - Baník Ostrava	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Baník Ostrava - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.03.26	Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
07.12.25	Karviná - Baník Ostrava	0:0
10.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Karviná	1:2
30.11.24	Baník Ostrava - Karviná	2:1
28.08.24	Karviná - Baník Ostrava	0:0
14.04.24	Baník Ostrava - Karviná	2:2
05.11.23	Karviná - Baník Ostrava	1:3
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Baník Ostrava - Karviná	2:1

Karviná - Baník Ostrava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide