The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kashima Antlers 56.8%
Draw 23.6%
Gamba Osaka 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
24.7%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
24.3%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kashima Antlers's performance.
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gamba Osaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kashima Antlers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gamba Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.4%
0%
5.6%
Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 37. Hirose R. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 7. Ogawa R. 27. Matsumura Y. 10. Shibasaki G. (C) 6. Misao K. 40. Suzuki Y. 30. Yoshida M. 9. Leo Ceara
22. Ichimori J. (G) 28. Fujiwara S. 4. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 7. Usami T. (C) 97. Welton 41. Toshida Y.
Substitutes
77. Cavric A. 4. Chida K. 17. Elber 24. Hayashu H. 8. Matheus Bueno 19. Omori S. 34. Tokuda H. 23. Tsukui K. 21. Yamada T. (G)
18. Araki R. (G) 23. Hummet D. 11. Jebali I. 15. Kishimoto T. 8. Meshino R. 47. Nakano S. 67. Sasaki S. 39. Sumi K. 16. Suzuki T.
Coaches
Oniki T.
Myojin T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+7', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽, Hirose R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Welton 🟨,
55', Hirose R. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
55', Yoshida M. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
57', Toshida Y. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
57', Usami T. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Misao K. (A),
64', Hatsuse R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
64', Welton ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
73', Mito R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
76', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
79', Leo Ceara ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
79', Shibasaki G. ↓, Matheus Bueno ↑,
84', Ogawa R. 🟨,
88', Suzuki Y. ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Kashima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Gamba Osaka has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Kashima carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Higuchi Y.
(Leg Injury).
Confirmed absences for Gamba Osaka: Handa R.
(Knee Injury)
Miura G.
(Knee Injury)
Okunuki K.
(Foot Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
Yokoi Y.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kashima has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:15 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kashima against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:6 goals (averaging 1.7:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Kashima Antlers
4
4
0
0
11:6
5
12
12
Gamba Osaka
4
1
2
1
6:7
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
Kashima Antlers - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Australia
China
Japan
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Hayakawa T. (G) 
Kim Tae-Hyeon 
Leo Ceara 
Cavric A. 
Hummet D. 
Jebali I. 
