Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Mercari Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kashima Antlers		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	7	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.75
	1.52	4.05	5.7	Watch
	1.53	4.41	6.41
	1.52	4.31	6.07	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.5
	1.5	3.95	7.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.64)	4.06 ↑ (3.99)	6.41 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
62.3%

Draw
23.1%

JEF United Chiba
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kashima Antlers - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kashima (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. (C) 5. Sekigawa I. 7. Ogawa R. 71. Araki R. 14. Higuchi Y. 6. Misao K. 17. Elber 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.	35. Wakahara T. (G) 13. Suzuki D. (C) 28. Kawano T. 3. Kuboniwa R. 5. Kobayashi Y. 42. Issaka Z. 6. Eduardo 8. Tsukui T. 15. Mae T. 20. Ishikawa D. 9. Goya H.
Substitutes
2. Anzai K. 77. Cavric A. 13. Chinen K. 24. Hayashu H. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 27. Matsumura Y. 10. Shibasaki G. 11. Tagawa K.	32. Amagasa T. 37. Himeno M. 33. Igari Y. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 24. Toriumi K. 41. Yasui T.
Coaches
Oniki T.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Elber ⚽, Araki R. (A),
35', Sekigawa I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Eduardo ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
64', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
65', Higuchi Y. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
65', Araki R. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
66', Elber ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Issaka Z. ⚽,
79', Misao K. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
79', Leo Ceara ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
79', Goya H. ↓, Matsumura T. ↑,
79', Tsukui T. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Ueda N. ⚽, Chinen K. (A),
87', Issaka Z. ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
88', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Amagasa T. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).

Kashima has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

JEF United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kashima is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in JEF United: Suarez J. (Knee Injury) Taguchi T. (Injury) Tanaka K. (Knee Injury) Ueda Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in JEF United: Sugiyama N. (Injury) Tsubaki N. (Ankle Injury)

We predict that Kashima will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 11.98% Chiba: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
20	Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL

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