Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Fukuda Denshi Arena (Chiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	JEF United Chiba		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.71	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.9
	4.15	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.71	3.86	1.77
	4.38	3.78	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	4.08	3.54	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (4)	3.61 ↓ (3.84)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JEF United Chiba
22%

Draw
25.9%

Tokyo
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

24.6%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24.5%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tokyo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Suzuki R. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Toriumi K. 13. Suzuki D. 15. Mae T. 42. Issaka Z. 5. Kobayashi Y. 32. Amagasa T. 8. Tsukui T. 30. Matsumura T. 20. Ishikawa D.	81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. 24. Scholz A. 17. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 71. Yamada F. 37. Koizumi K. 27. Tokiwa K. 22. Endo K. 39. Nakagawa T. 26. Nagakura M.
Substitutes
6. Eduardo 9. Goya H. 37. Himeno M. 33. Igari Y. 28. Kawano T. 3. Kuboniwa R. 46. Saito S. 35. Wakahara T. (G) 41. Yasui T.	6. Bangnagande K. 18. Hashimoto K. 10. Higashi K. 8. Ko T. 28. Nozawa L. 15. Omori R. 16. Sato K. 23. Sato R. 1. Tanaka H. (G)
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.	Matsuhashi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Scholz A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Amagasa T. ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
46', Matsumura T. ↓, Goya H. ↑,
48', Goya H. 🟨,
72', Tokiwa K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
72', Yamada F. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
75', Nakagawa T. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
75', Endo K. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Yasui T. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Sato R. ⚽, Nozawa L. (A),
81', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Eduardo ↑,
81', Issaka Z. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
86', Ishikawa D. ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
90', Hashimoto K. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
90+1', Muroya S. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).

JEF United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tokyo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Tokyo is the team to beat.

There will not play in JEF United: Suarez J. (Knee Injury) Taguchi T. (Injury) Tanaka K. (Knee Injury) Ueda Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in JEF United: Sugiyama N. (Injury) Tsubaki N. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Tokyo: Ko T. (Knee Injury) Morishige M. (Muscle Injury) Nagatomo Y. (Injury) Tawaratsumida K. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, JEF United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

FC Tokyo: 11.22% Chiba: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7
20	Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLL
- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo	1:2 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ET

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