The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 19.7%
Draw 23.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.2%
20.1%
64.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.7%
22.3%
71.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagan Tosu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanfrecce Hiroshima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
7.1%
57.1%
Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 31.2% โ 83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 88. Naganuma Y. 6. Fukuta A. 5. Kawahara S. 8. Nakahara H. 77. Slivka V. 13. Yokoyama A. 99. Marcelo Ryan
1. Osako K. (G) 15. Nakano S. 4. Araki H. 27. Iyoha O. 13. Arai N. 33. Shiotani T. 14. Matsumoto T. 24. Higashi S. 77. Ohashi Y. 10. Marcos Junior 9. Vieira D.
Substitutes
21. Horigome Y. 55. Kiyotake H. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 32. Sakaiya K. 7. Tezuka K. 22. Togashi C. 16. Ueebisu K.
6. Aoyama T. 25. Chajima Y. 51. Kato M. 22. Kawanami G. (G) 11. Mitsuta M. 35. Nakajima Y. 16. Shichi T.
Coaches
Kawai K.
Skibbe M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Marcos Junior ⚽, Vieira D. (A),
41', Fukuta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 1 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Harada W. (A),
61', Vieira D. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
61', Marcos Junior ↓, Kato M. ↑,
64', Slivka V. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Matsumoto T. ⚽, Arai N. (A),
78', Nakahara H. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
78', Kim Tae-Hyeon ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
86', Fukuta A. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
86', Yokoyama A. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Ohashi Y. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
90+1', Higashi S. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 4, Mitsuta M. ⚽,
90+7', Matsumoto T. ↓, Aoyama T. ↑,
90+7', Arai N. ↓, Chajima Y. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Recently Hiroshima have a series of home games.
In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 9-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.
Australia
China
India
Japan
Watch
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Park Il-gyu (G) 
Harada W. 
Slivka V. 
Marcelo Ryan 
Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 
Skibbe M. 
