Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.1	1.91	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.8
	4.15	3.25	1.88	Watch
	4.53	3.4	1.95
	4.38	3.41	1.88	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.85
	4.23	3.3	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (4.52)	3.32 ↓ (3.47)	1.88 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
21.7%

Draw
28.3%

Kashiwa Reysol
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

26.7%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

26.3%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mito HollyHock - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 2. Danilo Cardoso 17. Itakura K. 7. Omori S. 25. Mase T. 19. Semba T. 3. Osaki K. 70. Matheus Leiria 29. Tada K. 10. Watanabe A. (C)	25. Kojima R. (G) 88. Baba S. 4. Koga T. (C) 2. Mitsumaru H. 24. Kubo T. 39. Nakagawa N. 28. Toshima S. 15. Komi Y. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 9. Hosoya M.
Substitutes
13. Aihara S. 14. Arai M. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 9. Nemoto R. 44. Okuda K. 4. Ushizawa T. 39. Yamamoto H. 48. Yamashita Y. 24. Yamazaki K.	42. Harada W. 18. Kakita Y. 21. Konishi Y. 29. Nagai K. (G) 14. Okubo T. 20. Segawa Y. 26. Sugioka D. 32. Yamanouchi Y. 16. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Kimori D.	Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Kubo T. 🟥,
39', Yamauchi H. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
45+1', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Komi Y. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
46', Toshima S. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
46', Danilo Cardoso ↓, Ushizawa T. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Tada K. ⚽, Mase T. (A),
62', Baba S. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Watanabe A. ⚽, Tada K. (A),
66', Matheus Leiria ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
70', Hosoya M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
75', Watanabe A. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
75', Semba T. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
75', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
77', Kimori D. 🟥,
90+1', Iida T. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place))

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kashiwa is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Kato C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury) Konishi Y. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury) Yamada Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashiwa Reysol: 11.12% Mito: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10:4	6	12
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock	1:2 penalties ✺
04.04.26	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWL
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
22.03.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	3:0
Japan J2 League
14.10.19	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	2:3
19.05.19	Mito HollyHock - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0

Upcoming Matches