The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kashiwa Reysol 41.9%
Draw 27.2%
Vissel Kobe 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
27.6%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
29.4%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
30%
30%
Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Wakahara T. (G) 88. Baba S. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 21. Konishi Y. 39. Nakagawa N. 5. Endo K. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 15. Fujio S.
1. Maekawa D. (G) 17. Takahashi I. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 15. Diego 7. Ideguchi Y. 24. Sakai G. 94. Erik 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 41. Nagato K.
Substitutes
42. Harada W. 40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 2. Mitsumaru H. 29. Nagai K. (G) 20. Segawa Y. 28. Toshima S. 44. Yuba K. 16. Yuruki K.
16. Caetano 5. Goke Y. 71. Gonda S. (G) 44. Hidaka M. 2. Iino N. 23. Iwamoto Y. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 25. Kuwasaki Y.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.
Skibbe M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Baba S. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Fujio S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Nagato K. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Yamauchi H. ⚽, Toshima S. (A),
58', Yamakawa T. ↓, Caetano ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Kubo T. ⚽, Koizumi Y. (A),
71', Wakahara T. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
71', Endo K. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
71', Yamauchi H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
72', Muto Y. ↓, Iwamoto Y. ↑,
72', Sakai G. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
76', Takahashi I. ↓, Iino N. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Komatsu R. ⚽, Diego (A),
84', Fujio S. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
84', Kubo T. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Segawa Y. ⚽,
88', 4 - 2, Diego ⚽, Iino N. (A),
90+1', Harada W. 🟨,
90+1', Skibbe M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
Kashiwa has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Vissel Kobe is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Vissel Kobe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kashiwa holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Kashiwa: Okubo T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Vissel Kobe: Ogihara T.
(Knee Injury)
Sasaki D.
(Knee Injury)
Tominaga N.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kashiwa has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:23 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kashiwa against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Kashiwa Reysol
4
4
0
0
10:4
6
12
6
Vissel Kobe
4
2
1
1
4:3
1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Kashiwa Reysol - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.78%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.