Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kyzylzhar		Ulytau

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.78	3.55	4.2
	1.91	3.4	4.25
	1.72	3.39	4.76	Watch
	1.91	3.34	4.06
	1.78	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	3.51 ↑ (3.19)	4.3 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
52%

Draw
26.5%

Ulytau
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

29.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kyzylzhar's performance.

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyzylzhar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Kyzylzhar - Ulytau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyzylzhar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Petrov V. (G) 21. Buranchiev A. 17. Eleukin M. 22. Kozlenko A. 6. Martinovic I. 55. Noyok O. (C) 15. Sebai S. 8. Ulshin A. 9. Valiullin R. 44. Vasiljev A. 28. Zoric D.	35. Pavlov S. (G) 28. Bugulov G. 19. Carrillo J. 15. Daniyarov B. 3. Keiler S. 17. Moldakaraev Z. 5. Slambekov D. (C) 9. Solodovnicov N. 10. Taubay A. 6. Terekhov Y. 8. Vachiberadze B.
Substitutes
19. Asan A. 1. Babakhanov D. (G) 11. Cheredinov A. 99. Gorshunov E. 20. Kao M. 41. Lobantsev M. (G) 77. Miroshnichenko D. 4. Shadmanov B. 5. Toure A. 79. Valgushev G. 12. Zhakipbayev M. 10. Zhangylyshbay T.	20. Abylaykhan R. 2. Aslan R. 4. Chalkin M. 21. Ermekuulu A. 7. Kashken D. 11. Madelkhan B. 1. Nepogodov D. (G) 12. Nursultanov K. 95. Paireli V. 22. Rzataev B. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 14. Tuleev A.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Azovskiy I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Martinovic I. ⚽,
38', Moldakaraev Z. 🟨,
39', Solodovnicov N. 🟨,
45', Kozlenko A. 🟨,
45+1', Moldakaraev Z. 🟨,
45+3', Taubay A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Petrov V. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Vachiberadze B. ⚽,
62', Terekhov Y. ↓, Aslan R. ↑,
63', Ulshin A. ↓, Valgushev G. ↑,
63', Vasiljev A. ↓, Shadmanov B. ↑,
70', Aslan R. 🟨,
71', Noyok O. 🟨,
76', Daniyarov B. 🟨,
81', Taubay A. ↓, Abylaykhan R. ↑,
89', Valiullin R. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
90', Buranchiev A. ↓, Gorshunov E. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Sebai S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

In recent matches, Kyzylzhar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ulytau is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Kyzylzhar is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
04.05.25	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Kyzylzhar - Kaisar	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
12.04.25	Kyzylzhar - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.25	Kyzylzhar - Turan Turkistan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
03.05.25	Ulytau - Kairat	1:4 ✺
26.04.25	Aktobe - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Ulytau - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
12.04.25	Ulytau - Yelimay Semey	0:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
06.04.25	Yelimay Semey - Ulytau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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