Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bayimbet S. (Kaz)


	Kyzylzhar		Ulytau

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.3	Watch
	1.56	3.79	5.23
	1.57	3.79	5.4	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.1
	1.58	3.9	5.7	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.45)	3.75 ↑ (3.08)	5.32 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
58.6%

Draw
24.3%

Ulytau
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kyzylzhar's performance.

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulytau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyzylzhar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulytau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Kyzylzhar - Ulytau Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyzylzhar: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyzylzhar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 11. Cheredinov A. 55. Noyok O. 23. Piscevic N. 27. Gubarev N. 96. Abiken A. 10. Bjartalid J. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 7. Muldinov T. 13. Bahoken S. 77. Latifi L.	1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 28. Bugulov G. (C) 25. Bukhal G. 12. Afanasenko V. 13. Akhmedov A. 8. Vachiberadze B. 6. Nursultanov K. 14. Harada H. 90. Martin D. 45. Zulfikarov B.
Substitutes
99. Beugre E. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 90. Kenzhadoev A. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 29. Loginovsky G. 88. Pertsukh Y. 32. Petrov V. (G) 19. Serikuly D. 53. Talyspayev D. (G) 79. Valgushev G. 47. Zhienaliev T.	18. Bougnone A. 4. Chalkin M. 22. Chernyak I. 17. Daniyarov B. 7. Kishi K. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 9. Serikkul R. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 11. Smith A. 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G)
Coaches
Zhukovskiy V.	Mazbaev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Bahoken S. ⚽, Latifi L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martin D. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
58', Muldinov T. ↓, Beugre E. ↑,
62', Nursultanov K. ↓, Bougnone A. ↑,
62', Akhmedov A. ↓, Maulenov D. ↑,
68', Zulfikarov B. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
71', Latifi L. 🟨,
75', Chernyak I. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
85', Abiken A. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
87', Bahoken S. ↓, Zhienaliev T. ↑,
89', Pertsukh Y. 🟨,
90+1', Vachiberadze B. 🟨,
90+2', Beugre E. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 8th).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Bookmakers give the edge to Kyzylzhar for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kyzylzhar has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kyzylzhar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ulytau	29	9	8	12	27:35	-8	35
11	Kyzylzhar	29	8	6	15	29:41	-12	30

Last Results with these Odds

Kyzylzhar - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
17.10.26	Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTLL
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
18.10.26	Yelimay Semey - Ulytau	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Ulytau - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Aktobe - Ulytau	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ulytau - Altai Semey	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
16.03.26	Ulytau - Kyzylzhar	1:0
09.08.25	Ulytau - Kyzylzhar	1:1
10.05.25	Kyzylzhar - Ulytau	2:1

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