Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)


	Okzhetpes		Kyzylzhar

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.50
	1.79	3	5.16	Watch
	1.94	3.11	4.42
	1.85	2.9	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.92)	3.09 ↑ (3.03)	4.33 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
49.4%

Draw
29.6%

Kyzylzhar
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

31.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Event will be played on 18.10. 15:00.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 3.

Recent performances by Okzhetpes have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kyzylzhar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Okzhetpes is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
16.08.26	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Astana - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Okzhetpes - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
16.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Astana	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Altai Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
02.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	0:1
13.09.25	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	3:1
31.05.25	Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar	3:2
01.10.23	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	1:2
15.03.23	Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar	0:1
17.10.20	Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar	2:1
01.07.20	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	3:1

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