Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)

Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Kaisar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.40
	2.38	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.81	3.25	2.49
	2.4	3.01	2.96	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.44	3.15	2.97	Watch
	2.71	2.6	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.89)	2.99 ↑ (2.54)	2.76 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
36.3%

Draw
30.6%

Kaisar
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

36.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

36.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kaspiy will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kaisar will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaisar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Kaspiy (2.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaspiy (votes: 2 - 50%). Kaisar (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Zhomart D. (G) 21. Aripov D. 14. Amaral A. 55. Elemes N. 19. Taykenov M. (C) 13. Serikbay M. 17. Klimovich V. 10. Umaev I. 7. Kabylan B. 11. Ndombasi N. 9. Abylaykhan R.	1. Salaydin N. (C) 93. Askarov S. 15. Idrisov N. 17. Zhumabekov S. 47. Konlimkos B. 42. Miqueias 24. Cuckic N. 12. Sovet S. 14. Jones T. 9. Agzambaev N. 70. Ezekiel I.
Substitutes
49. Andrin Y. (G) 8. Armenov A. 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 16. Baydavletov A. 29. Bekmyrza A. 67. Berdibek D. 30. Morgado B. 28. Petrovic B.	16. Azhikhan A. (G) 6. Kaldybekov E. 40. Kovac A. (G) 96. Mukhammed A. 2. Redzhepov T. 18. Rustemuly D. 21. Serikuly D. 3. Tolegenov A. 23. Zhumat M.
Coaches
Shoytymov E.	Ferapontov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Ezekiel I. ⚽,
18', Zhumabekov S. 🟨,
20', Kabylan B. 🟨,
29', Abylaykhan R. 🟨,
31', Umaev I. ↓, Petrovic B. ↑,
33', 0 - 2, Agzambaev N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Sovet S. ↓, Redzhepov T. ↑,
70', Miqueias ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
70', Jones T. ↓, Rustemuly D. ↑,
75', Redzhepov T. 🟨,
78', Ezekiel I. ↓, Serikuly D. ↑,
78', Agzambaev N. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Ndombasi N. ⚽,
89', Serikbay M. 🟨,
89', Serikbay M. ↓, Baydavletov A. ↑,
90+6', Bekmyrza A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Zhenis - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Ulytau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LTLWW
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Kairat - Kaisar	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Aktobe - Kaisar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
23.09.23	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	3:1
01.04.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:3
Kazakh Cup
29.07.22	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2
23.07.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2
Kazakh Premier League
19.06.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	2:4
09.04.21	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	2:1
30.10.20	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1

Upcoming Matches