Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	SKY PerfecTV!


	Machida Zelvia		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	1.2	5	11
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.27	5.3	9.4
	1.24	6.09	11.35
				Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.29	5.35	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.53)	4.99 ↑ (3.82)	9.13 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
71.1%

Draw
18.7%

Kataller Toyama
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24.2%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

23%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machida Zelvia's performance.

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kataller Toyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machida Zelvia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Machida Zelvia - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 15. Duke M. 11. Masuyama A. 88. Nakamura H. 19. Nakayama Y. 20. Nishimura T. 22. Numata T. 50. Okamura D. 8. Sento K. 23. Shirasaki R.	42. Hirao T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 17. Inoue N. 25. Kameda A. 24. Kawai Y. 8. Matsuoka D. 23. Nishiya S. 41. Sakai S. 22. Shiina N. 58. Take H. 40. Takeuchi Y.
Substitutes
9. Fujio S. 26. Hayashi K. 4. Kikuchi R. 49. Kuwayama K. 16. Mae H. 13. Morita T. (G) 30. Nakashima Y. 18. Shimoda H. 3. Shoji G.	39. Furukawa M. 32. Mizoguchi S. 26. Nabeta A. 15. Nascimento G. 21. Okubo T. (G) 20. Oyama M. 7. Sasaki Y. 34. Takenaka G. 14. Ura J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Nishimura T. ⚽,
43', Numata T. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Take H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Duke M. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
46', Nakamura H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
46', Numata T. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
46', Kameda A. ↓, Sasaki Y. ↑,
53', Take H. ↓, Takenaka G. ↑,
63', Matsuoka D. ↓, Nabeta A. ↑,
68', Masuyama A. ↓, Kikuchi R. ↑,
70', 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Okamura D. ⚽,
75', Fukazawa S. ↓, Oyama M. ↑,
75', Shiina N. ↓, Ura J. ↑,
85', Shirasaki R. ↓, Mae H. ↑,

Preview

Machida Zelvia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kataller Toyama has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Machida Zelvia is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
05.07.25	Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:0 ✺
29.06.25	Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia	0:4 ✺
21.06.25	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sangyo University	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Mito HollyHock - Kataller Toyama	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Vegalta Sendai - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Kataller Toyama - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Iwaki - Kataller Toyama	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Kataller Toyama - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
03.07.19	Machida Zelvia - Kataller Toyama	0:1

Upcoming Matches