Match Info

Date: 22 April 2022, Friday


	Kilmarnock		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.5
	1.72	3.3	5
	1.8	3.25	4.4
	1.81	3.45	4.86
	1.78	3.1	4.6	Watch
	1.83	3.42	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.97)	3.3 ↑ (3.21)	4.61 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilmarnock
51.9%

Draw
28%

Arbroath
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.2%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

30.8%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Kilmarnock - Arbroath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Kilmarnock will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kilmarnock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Football Championship
15.04.22	Inverness - Kilmarnock	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Kilmarnock - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
01.04.22	Greenock Morton - Kilmarnock	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Kilmarnock - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Kilmarnock - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWW
- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
16.04.22	Arbroath - Queen of the South	5:1 ✺
09.04.22	Hamilton Academical - Arbroath	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Arbroath - Raith Rovers	3:3 ✺
19.03.22	Arbroath - Ayr United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
04.02.22	Arbroath - Kilmarnock	1:0
20.11.21	Kilmarnock - Arbroath	0:1
24.09.21	Arbroath - Kilmarnock	0:0

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