Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday


	Kosmos Dolgoprudny		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.45	2.09
	2.82	3.59	2.09
	3	3.44	2.19	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.56)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	2.12 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kosmos Dolgoprudny
31.1%

Draw
26%

Rodina Moscow
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.8%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kosmos Dolgoprudny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kosmos Dolgoprudny than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kosmos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rodina will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kosmos in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rodina is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kosmos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kosmos have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kosmos to win the game is with odds 2.8.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
30.09.22	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Kolomna	6:2 ✺
26.09.22	Khimki 2 - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	2:3 ✺
22.09.22	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
13.09.22	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.09.22	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Khimki 2	0:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWT
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
01.10.22	KAMAZ - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Akron Tolyatti - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
04.09.22	Rodina Moscow - Krasnodar 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLTL

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