Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Krasnodar		Rotor

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	11	Watch
	1.3	5.5	8.75	Watch
	1.32	5	8.5
	1.3	5.2	8.4
	1.32	5.36	10.29
	1.29	5.25	10
	1.31	5.8	11.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)	5.34 ↑ (4.66)	9.74 ↑ (8.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
72.6%

Draw
17.7%

Rotor
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

20.1%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

11%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-35.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krasnodar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	8.3%	29.2%

Krasnodar - Rotor Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Rotor will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation to FNL).

Krasnodar has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rotor has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Krasnodar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Krasnodar is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
UEFA Champions League
02.12.20	Krasnodar - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.11.20	Khimki - Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.11.20	Krasnodar - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
21.11.20	Krasnodar - Tambov	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Zenit - Krasnodar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Premier League
29.11.20	Spartak Moscow - Rotor	2:0 ✺
22.11.20	Rotor - Ural	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Arsenal Tula - Rotor	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Rotor - CSKA Moscow	0:1 ✺
24.10.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rotor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
13.09.20	Rotor - Krasnodar	Krasnodar awarded

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