Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Referee: Bel D. (Cro)


	KuPS Kuopio		Derry City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.15	3	3.65
	2.2	3.05	3.4
	2.15	2.98	3.6
	2.15	3.2	3.54	Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.15)	3.08 ↓ (3.24)	3.53 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
43.4%

Draw
30.2%

Derry City
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	13.3%	0%

KuPS Kuopio - Derry City Predictions

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 18. Saarinen S. 15. Cisse I. 3. Sichenje C. 25. Antwi C. 14. Popovitch A. (C) 13. Oksanen J. 6. Savolainen S. 17. Heinonen A. 9. Tuominen J. 23. Yengi T.	1. Maher B. (G) 2. Boyce R. 6. Connolly M. 17. McJannett C. 14. Doherty B. 23. Dummigan C. 10. McEleney P. (C) 8. Patching W. 12. McMullan P. 29. Kavanagh C. 7. Duffy M.
Substitutes
8. Dahlstrom S. 19. Gabriel Bispo 33. Hamalainen T. 44. Jervis J. 11. Lampinen P. 16. Miettinen S. 38. Miettinen T. 37. Pitkanen M. (G) 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 26. Vidjeskog A.	3. Coll C. 15. Diallo S. 20. Kavanagh B. 45. Lemoignan J. (G) 16. McEleney S. 22. McEneff J. 21. Mullen D. 28. O'Reilly A. 26. Ryan T. (G)
Coaches
Honkavaara J.	Higgins R.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

KuPS is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derry in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Derry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Derry have a series of home games.

KuPS will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches KuPS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.07.23	KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Derry City - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.07.23	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.07.23	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLTLL
- Derry City
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Derry City - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
23.07.23	Derry City - Athlone Town	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Derry City - HB Tórshavn	1:0 ✺
13.07.23	HB Tórshavn - Derry City	0:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
07.07.23	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Derry City - KuPS Kuopio	2:1

Upcoming Matches