Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Kyoto Sanga		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.25
	1.38	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.4	6.4
	1.43	4.74	7.97
	1.38	4.2	8
	1.44	4.65	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	4.41 ↑ (4.34)	7.17 ↑ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
66%

Draw
21.1%

Renofa Yamaguchi
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.4%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.5%

18%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Kyoto Sanga - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 17).

京都サンガ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

レノファ山口FC has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

レノファ山口FC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match 京都サンガ is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches 京都サンガ won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams 京都サンガ won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J2 League
17.10.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Kyoto Sanga - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Kyoto Sanga - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLWW
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
17.10.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	2:2 ✺
09.10.21	Albirex Niigata - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:3 ✺
19.09.21	Sagamihara - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.04.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kyoto Sanga	0:2
18.10.20	Kyoto Sanga - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1
23.02.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
12.10.19	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
25.05.19	Kyoto Sanga - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0
18.08.18	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
06.05.18	Kyoto Sanga - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2

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