Match Info

J1 League - Round 18

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Tokyo Verdy		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.58	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.74	3.1	2.92
	2.69	3.1	2.79	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.75
	2.63	3.02	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)	3.05 ↑ (2.96)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
35.6%

Draw
30.7%

Yokohama F. Marinos
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

33.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 4. Hayashi N. 6. Miyahara K. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 10. Morita K. (C) 23. Fukazawa D. 8. Saito K. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.	1. Park Il-gyu (G) 13. Inoue T. 17. Quinones J. 22. Tsunoda R. (C) 2. Kato R. 28. Yamane R. 6. Watanabe K. 24. Kondo T. 40. Amano J. 30. Yuri Araujo 9. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
40. Arai Y. 5. Inoue R. 30. Kawamura G. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 24. Nakayama S. 27. Shirai R. 35. Tanabe S. 45. Teranuma S. 22. Uchida Y.	46. Asada H. 11. Croux J. 26. David D. 29. Higuchi A. 21. Iikura H. (G) 34. Kimura T. 35. Sekitomi K. 33. Suwama K. 19. Tevis
Coaches
Hiroshi J.	Oshima H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
25', 0 - 1, Kondo T. ⚽, Amano J. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Tanimura K. ⚽, Kondo T. (A),
45+2', 0 - 3, Yuri Araujo ⚽, Kondo T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Fukazawa D. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
46', 0 - 4, Tanimura K. ⚽, Amano J. (A),
59', 0 - 5, Yuri Araujo ⚽, Kondo T. (A),
61', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Uchida Y. ↑,
61', Fukuda Y. ↓, Nakayama S. ↑,
61', Kato R. ↓, Sekitomi K. ↑,
61', Yuri Araujo ↓, Croux J. ↑,
67', Tanimura K. 🟨,
67', Saito K. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
74', Watanabe K. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
80', Amano J. ↓, Higuchi A. ↑,
80', Kondo T. ↓, Tevis ↑,
80', Hirakawa R. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 6, Tevis ⚽, Higuchi A. (A),
90+2', Tevis 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2.

Recent performances by Tokyo Verdy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yokohama FM is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tokyo Verdy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamami H. (Knee Injury) Yoshida T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K. (Inactive) Suzuki T. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Yokohama F. Marinos: 3.02% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo Verdy - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.35%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Yokohama F. Marinos - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.74%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
16.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 penalties ✺
10.05.26	Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLW
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
16.05.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	1:2 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock	1:2 penalties ✺
29.04.26	JEF United Chiba - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	3:2
09.08.25	Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0
05.04.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	0:0
29.06.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	1:2
25.02.24	Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
22.09.16	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	4:0

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