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Current Win Probability
Tokyo Verdy 29.8%
Draw 33.5%
Nagoya Grampus 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
29.9%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
29.1%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagoya Grampus's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagoya Grampus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 2 - 50%). Nagoya (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Nagoya (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 2 - 40%). Nagoya (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 40. Arai Y. 2. Fukazawa D. 16. Hirakawa R. 17. Inami T. 37. Kawasaki S. 25. Kumatoriya I. 20. Meshino S. 6. Miyahara K. 27. Shirai R. 15. Suzuki K.
1. Schmidt D. (G) 9. Asano Y. 15. Inagaki S. 6. Kawazura A. 22. Kimura Y. 20. Mikuni K. 14. Morishima T. 18. Nagai K. 2. Nogami Y. 55. Tokumoto S. 17. Uchida T.
Substitutes
30. Kawamura G. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 39. Nakayama S. 8. Saito K. 29. Sako M. 9. Someno I. 3. Taniguchi H. 28. Yamamoto J.
70. Hara T. 7. Izumi R. 27. Nakayama K. 35. Pisano A. (G) 3. Sato Y. 8. Shiihashi K. 30. Sugiura S. 11. Yamagishi Y. 66. Yamanaka R.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.
Hasegawa K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Arai Y. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Uchida T. ⚽,
42', Nagai K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Arai Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
60', Shirai R. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
64', Uchida T. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
64', Asano Y. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
66', Miyahara K. ↓, Taniguchi H. ↑,
66', Hirakawa R. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
71', Schmidt D. ↓, Pisano A. ↑,
71', Nagai K. ↓, Izumi R. ↑,
77', Kumatoriya I. ↓, Yamamoto J. ↑,
78', Kawazura A. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Inagaki S. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2.
Tokyo Verdy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Nagoya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Nagoya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
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Matheus Vidotto (G) 
Arai Y. 
