Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 19

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Haapsalu Linnastaadion (Haapsalu)


	Läänemaa Haapsalu		Tartu Kalev

	1	X	2
	6	5	1.34
	6.5	5.15	1.31
	5.65	5.55	1.31
				Watch
	5.56	5.45	1.36
	5.17	5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (5.54)	5.23 ↑ (4.98)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Läänemaa Haapsalu
15.6%

Draw
17.3%

Tartu Kalev
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

18.2%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

14%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Läänemaa Haapsalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Läänemaa Haapsalu than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Läänemaa Haapsalu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tartu Kalev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Tartu Kalev (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tartu Kalev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hohlatov A. (G) 23. Suder H. 84. Luks R. 31. Viispert A. 18. Laherand R. 37. Suder R. 53. Paes K. 10. Konks M. 15. Veski S. 45. Hein S. 91. Sutin V.	24. Peramets K. (G) 5. Laas K. 27. Neltsas R. 77. Tenno S. 7. Vilt K. 6. Bazjukin N. 8. Mihhalevski R. 10. Kaasik K. 30. Alajoe M. 21. Kohv K. 20. Kruusla G.
Substitutes
35. Laitamm R. (G) 29. Sepp R.	9. Reinberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Kruusla G. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Kaasik K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
48', 0 - 3, Kohv K. ⚽,
51', 0 - 4, Mihhalevski R. ⚽,
57', 0 - 5, Kruusla G. ⚽,
61', 0 - 6, Bazjukin N. ⚽,
90', 0 - 7, Kruusla G. ⚽,

Preview

Läänemaa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tartu Kalev's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tartu Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tartu Kalev is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Läänemaa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Läänemaa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Läänemaa JK Haapsalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
05.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:6 ✺
29.06.25	Paide U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	3:0 ✺
19.06.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:4 ✺
14.06.25	Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu	1:1 ✺
05.06.25	Narva Trans U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL
- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
05.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1 ✺
19.06.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
11.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Elva	1:2 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
01.06.25	Paide U21 - Tartu Kalev	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
10.05.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	0:1
02.03.25	Tartu Kalev - Läänemaa Haapsalu	6:1
14.09.24	Tartu Kalev - Läänemaa Haapsalu	2:1
10.08.24	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	1:1

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