Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 14

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	LDU Quito		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.3	Watch
	1.6	4.34	5.02
	1.55	4.61	4.97	Watch
	1.53	3.8	4.6
	1.49	4.05	6.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)	4.13 ↓ (4.21)	5.31 ↓ (7.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
60.1%

Draw
22.4%

Técnico Universitario
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

22.1%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

15.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Quito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 14. Quintero J. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. 44. Segovia L. 23. Quinonez Y. 20. Cornejo F. 8. Pretell J. 99. Luna Tobar C. 16. Deyverson 11. Estrada M.	1. Razzeto S. (G) 13. Anaya J. 27. Copete A. 85. Arce Y. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 33. Majao J. 70. Castano M. 7. Estupinan L. (C) 10. Johan Bocanegra 90. Caicedo W. 25. Delgado B.
Substitutes
10. Alvarado A. 26. Caicedo J. 24. Calle J. 21. Castillo E. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 32. Gomez A. 9. Medina J. 27. Mina R. 5. Minda K. 33. Quinonez L. 7. Redes R. 15. Villamil G.	30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 8. Chaves M. 53. Chilla R. 9. Fernandez L. 17. Montes J. 12. Morales A. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
Coaches
Tiago Nunes	Usucar F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Caicedo W. 🟨,
37', Majao J. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Delgado B. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
45+6', Pretell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Segovia L. ↓, Quinonez L. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
63', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
63', Estupinan L. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
63', Delgado B. ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,
71', Pretell J. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
71', Deyverson ↓, Medina J. ↑,
72', Caicedo W. 🟨,
75', Estupinan L. 🟨,
82', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Arce K. ↑,
86', Quintero J. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
88', Majao J. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
90+2', Copete A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Copete A. (Own goal),
90+5', Cornejo F. 🟨,
90+7', Arce Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 5.

LDU Quito has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Técnico Univ is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of away games.

In this match, LDU Quito is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:15. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.05.26	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Mirassol - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.05.26	LDU Quito - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Lanús - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.04.26	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Guayaquil City - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.09.25	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3
31.05.25	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	3:2
19.10.24	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:2
27.04.24	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	1:0
08.11.23	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	0:2
19.05.23	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	2:1
30.07.22	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	2:0

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