Match Info

Date: 27 April 2021, Tuesday


	LDU Quito		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.6	4.1	5
	1.6	3.95	5	Watch
	1.62	3.85	4.9
	1.66	4.12	4.93
	1.63	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.61	4.05	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.76)	3.96 ↑ (3.71)	5.12 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
57.9%

Draw
23.7%

Vélez Sársfield
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

16.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Quito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez Sársfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

LDU Quito - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match LDU Quito is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
21.04.21	Unión La Calera - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.21	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
14.04.21	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWTT
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
12.04.21	Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.04.21	Talleres de Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

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