Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena)

Referee: Ziskason H. (Fai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	TV4
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Larne		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	2.85	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.81	3.3	2.42
				Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.3
	2.81	3.36	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.1)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	2.37 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Larne
33%

Draw
28.1%

Auda Riga
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.2%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Larne's form might have worsened.

Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auda Riga's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	37.5%	31.2%

Larne - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Auda will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Larne: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Auda (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Larne (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 4 - 50%). Auda (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 19. Nolan R. 4. Donnelly A. 11. Graham S. 8. Randall M. 26. Bent D. 6. Gallagher C. 22. McEneff J. 9. O'Neill P. 7. McKendry C.	12. Ozols R. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. 21. Melniks D. 13. Paulo Eduardo 3. Erquiaga I. 7. Clemente M. 8. Nguena K. (C) 11. Jackson Kenio 14. Varslavans R. 99. Jeudi S. 9. Monteiro E.
Substitutes
50. Collett D. (G) 36. Graham D. (G) 42. Hastings J. 17. Kee J. 30. Lusty M. 14. Magee B. 10. O'Connor T. 3. Ridley M. 47. Simpson J. 46. Wallace L.	25. Abdul K. S. 29. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 77. Camara O. 79. Kone I. 47. Kone K. 22. Ogunji A. 46. Ramiro J. 71. Rubenis O. 10. Traore A.
Coaches
Rooney N.	Kalns J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Nguena K. 🟨,
23', Nolan R. 🟨,
33', Erquiaga I. 🟨,
37', Jackson Kenio ↓, Traore A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jeudi S. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
59', Randall M. 🟨,
61', Kone K. 🟨,
69', O'Neill P. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
69', Randall M. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
83', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
85', McEneff J. 🟨,
87', Monteiro E. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
87', McKendry C. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Ballymena Showgrounds.

Auda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Auda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Larne - Portadown	3:0 ✺
23.06.25	Falkirk - Larne	N/A
21.06.25	Stranraer - Larne	0:1 ✺
17.06.25	Larne - The New Saints	2:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
26.04.25	Larne - Glentoran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?WTT
- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
05.07.25	Auda Riga - Jelgava	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Super Nova - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	Auda Riga - Riga	1:3 ✺
22.06.25	RFS - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLW

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