Match Info

LaLiga - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+


	Las Palmas		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.62	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.55
	5.5	4.33	1.6	Watch
	5.49	4.25	1.64
	5.83	4.36	1.58
	5	4	1.57
	5.46	4.33	1.66	Watch
	5.5	4.33	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (5.4)	4.23 ↑ (3.96)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
17.6%

Draw
22.7%

Atlético Madrid
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

24.3%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

23.4%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.7%	7%	88.4%

Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Atlético (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Atlético (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (37 of 42 users predict this - 88.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.31% – 97.89%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Horkas D. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez (C) 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 5. Javier Munoz 29. Essugo D. 21. Bajcetic S. 10. Moleiro A. 16. McBurnie O. 37. Silva F.	13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 2. Gimenez J. M. 24. Le Normand R. 21. Galan J. 22. Simeone G. 8. Barrios P. 6. Koke (C) 4. Gallagher C. 19. Alvarez J. 9. Sorloth A.
Substitutes
8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 28. Herzog J. 24. Januzaj A. 30. Killane A. (G) 12. Loiodice E. 2. Marvin 17. Mata J. 35. Mora I. (G) 23. Munoz A. 19. Ramirez S.	3. Azpilicueta C. 10. Correa A. 5. de Paul R. 7. Griezmann A. 11. Lemar T. 15. Lenglet C. 12. Lino S. 23. Mandava R. 16. Molina N. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 20. Witsel A.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Galan J. 🟨,
59', Koke ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
59', Gallagher C. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
65', Galan J. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
65', Alvarez J. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
67', McBurnie O. ↓, Marvin ↑,
71', Javier Munoz 🟨,
75', Sorloth A. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
77', Essugo D. 🟨,
79', Essugo D. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
83', Moleiro A. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
83', Silva F. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Javier Munoz ⚽,
90+4', Mata J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Health problems) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 6:32 (average 0.5:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:18 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.25	Getafe - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Betis - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLTTL
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
14.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Valladolid	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.03.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	2:0
17.02.24	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	5:0
03.11.23	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	2:1
28.01.18	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	3:0
26.08.17	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	1:5
29.04.17	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	0:5
Spanish Copa del Rey
10.01.17	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	2:3

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