Match Info

LaLiga - Round 29

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	16:00	Disney+
China	03:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	00:30	GXR World
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	21:00	K Sport 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Maldives	00:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, TV Canaria, TVG
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tanzania	22:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
Vietnam	02:00	SCTV Online
International	19:00	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Celta de Vigo		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.5
	1.58	4.2	6	Watch
	1.58	4.45	5.62
	1.57	4.25	6.07	Watch
	1.62	4	5.5
	1.59	4.19	6.13	Watch
	1.58	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	4.19 ↓ (4.25)	5.82 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
60.6%

Draw
22.9%

Las Palmas
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

22.6%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	15%	6.7%

Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 46 - 78%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 4 - 6.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 67.4% – 88.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guaita V. (C) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 25. Rodriguez D. 6. Moriba I. 21. Ristic M. 14. Losada I. 12. Gonzalez A. 7. Iglesias B.	1. Cillessen J. (G) 18. Viti 28. Herzog J. 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 5. Javier Munoz 21. Bajcetic S. 8. Campana J. 10. Moleiro A. (C) 16. McBurnie O. 37. Silva F.
Substitutes
23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 8. Beltran F. 11. Cervi F. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 16. Jailson 28. Lopez F. 4. Sotelo H. 26. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 1. Villar I. (G)	4. Alex Suarez 9. Cardona M. 29. Essugo D. 14. Fuster M. 13. Horkas D. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 12. Loiodice E. 2. Marvin 17. Mata J. 35. Mora I. (G) 23. Munoz A. 19. Ramirez S.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Cillessen J. ↓, Horkas D. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Iglesias B. (A),
45+4', Losada I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bajcetic S. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
46', Campana J. ↓, Essugo D. ↑,
46', Ristic M. ↓, Jailson ↑,
46', Losada I. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Moleiro A. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
75', Rodriguez D. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
75', Iglesias B. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
77', McBurnie O. ↓, Marvin ↑,
79', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
83', Lopez F. 🟨,
86', Rodriguez J. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
88', Moleiro A. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celta won 4.

Celta is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Palmas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Celta is a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Mingueza O. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Ramirez B. (Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Celta: Swedberg W. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Celta to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Celta won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:21 (average 2.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Celta won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:7 (average 3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.25	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Girona - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
21.02.25	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
14.03.25	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Betis - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Las Palmas - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Mallorca - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.10.24	Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo	0:1
20.04.24	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	4:1
02.10.23	Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo	2:1
05.03.18	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	2:1
16.10.17	Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo	2:5
03.04.17	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	3:1
30.10.16	Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo	3:3

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