Match Info

LaLiga - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
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Portugal	DAZN 2
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Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Las Palmas		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.35	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.25	2.45	Watch
	3.14	3.24	2.45	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.25
	3.17	3.35	2.49	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.14)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.38 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
30.1%

Draw
29.6%

Real Sociedad
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

29.8%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	18.7%	59.4%

Las Palmas - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 46.1% – 80.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Real Sociedad (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Las Palmas (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Horkas D. (G) 18. Viti 28. Herzog J. 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 19. Ramirez S. (C) 5. Javier Munoz 29. Essugo D. 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 16. McBurnie O.	1. Remiro A. (G) 19. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 6. Elustondo A. 12. Lopez J. 4. Zubimendi M. 7. Barrenetxea A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 28. Marin P. 17. Gomez S. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
4. Alex Suarez 21. Bajcetic S. 8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 24. Januzaj A. 30. Killane A. (G) 12. Loiodice E. 2. Marvin 17. Mata J. 23. Munoz A. 31. Puig V. (G)	35. Arana E. (G) 43. Diaz D. 14. Kubo T. 40. Mariezkurrena A. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 3. Munoz A. 9. Oskarsson O. 24. Sucic L. 18. Traore H. 22. Turrientes B.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Oyarzabal M. ⚽,
24', Zubeldia I. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
45+2', Lopez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Gomez S. ⚽, Barrenetxea A. (A),
60', 1 - 2, McBurnie O. ⚽, Silva F. (A),
63', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
63', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
63', Ramirez S. ↓, Marvin ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Aramburu J. ⚽,
71', Herzog J. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
71', Essugo D. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
76', Martin J. 🟨,
80', Javier Munoz ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
80', Moleiro A. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
83', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 0.

Las Palmas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Sociedad will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Health problems) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aguerd N. (Injury) Becker S. (Knee Injury) Mendez B. (Foot Injury) Odriozola A. (Injury) Zakharyan A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Ramirez B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
31.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Betis - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Las Palmas - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLTL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.04.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:4 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.03.25	Real Sociedad - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0
04.05.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	2:0
25.08.23	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:0
14.04.18	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:1
26.11.17	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	2:2
24.02.17	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:1
21.09.16	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	4:1

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