Match Info

LaLiga - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
Argentina	09:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Belgium	14:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	09:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
Chile	08:00	DirecTV Sports
China	20:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 2
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	16:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	17:30	GXR World
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	K Sport 1
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Macao	20:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	17:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	07:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	21:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	20:00	DAZN
Tanzania	15:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	15:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:00	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	19:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	12:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Las Palmas		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.35	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.25	2.45	Watch
	3.14	3.24	2.45	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.25
	3.17	3.35	2.49	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.14)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.38 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
30.1%

Draw
29.6%

Real Sociedad
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

29.8%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	18.7%	59.4%

Las Palmas - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 46.1% – 80.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Real Sociedad (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Las Palmas (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Horkas D. (G) 18. Viti 28. Herzog J. 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 19. Ramirez S. (C) 5. Javier Munoz 29. Essugo D. 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 16. McBurnie O.	1. Remiro A. (G) 19. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 6. Elustondo A. 12. Lopez J. 4. Zubimendi M. 7. Barrenetxea A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 28. Marin P. 17. Gomez S. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
4. Alex Suarez 21. Bajcetic S. 8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 24. Januzaj A. 30. Killane A. (G) 12. Loiodice E. 2. Marvin 17. Mata J. 23. Munoz A. 31. Puig V. (G)	35. Arana E. (G) 43. Diaz D. 14. Kubo T. 40. Mariezkurrena A. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 3. Munoz A. 9. Oskarsson O. 24. Sucic L. 18. Traore H. 22. Turrientes B.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Oyarzabal M. ⚽,
24', Zubeldia I. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
45+2', Lopez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Gomez S. ⚽, Barrenetxea A. (A),
60', 1 - 2, McBurnie O. ⚽, Silva F. (A),
63', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
63', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
63', Ramirez S. ↓, Marvin ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Aramburu J. ⚽,
71', Herzog J. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
71', Essugo D. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
76', Martin J. 🟨,
80', Javier Munoz ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
80', Moleiro A. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
83', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 0.

Las Palmas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Sociedad will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Health problems) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aguerd N. (Injury) Becker S. (Knee Injury) Mendez B. (Foot Injury) Odriozola A. (Injury) Zakharyan A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Ramirez B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
31.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Betis - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Las Palmas - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLTL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.04.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:4 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.03.25	Real Sociedad - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0
04.05.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	2:0
25.08.23	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:0
14.04.18	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:1
26.11.17	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	2:2
24.02.17	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:1
21.09.16	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	4:1

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