Match Info

LaLiga2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DSports 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	TV2 Play
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Sportkanalen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	DSports 6
Usa	ESPN+


	Las Palmas		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.30
	2.18	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.23	3.14	3.78
	2.28	3.08	3.46	Watch
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.25	3.14	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	3.09 ↓ (3.44)	3.49 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
42.9%

Draw
30.3%

Málaga
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	16.7%	27.8%

Las Palmas - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 4. Alex Suarez 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 18. Miyashiro T. 16. Amatucci L. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 24. Pejino 10. Jese 14. Fuster M.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 35. Ochoa A. 12. Dotor C. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
7. Benedetti N. 49. Bravo I. 13. Caro J. (G) 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 38. Medina I. 39. Pedrola E. 27. Pezzolesi V. 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J.	5. Brasanac D. 6. Enriquez R. 2. Gabilondo J. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 11. Munoz J. 21. Nino A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Galilea E. ↓, Montero J. ↑,
45', Marvin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ochoa A. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
55', Clemente E. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽, Lorenzo D. (A),
61', Pejino ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
64', Lorenzo D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
67', Fuster M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
67', Jese ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
82', Chupe ↓, Nino A. ↑,
82', Dotor C. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
87', Amatucci L. ↓, Medina I. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Las Palmas is Qualified for LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

Málaga is Qualified for LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.

Las Palmas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Málaga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Las Palmas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Loiodice E. (Ankle Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Sergio Barcia (Muscle Injury) Viti (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Muscle Injury) Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Juanpe (Muscle Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
31.05.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Almería - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	FC Andorra - Las Palmas	5:1 ✺
03.05.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
31.05.26	Zaragoza - Málaga	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Málaga - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ceuta - Málaga	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Eibar - Málaga	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.04.26	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:0
31.08.25	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1
11.03.23	Las Palmas - Málaga	2:2
22.08.22	Málaga - Las Palmas	0:4
29.04.22	Las Palmas - Málaga	2:1
20.11.21	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:1
17.04.21	Las Palmas - Málaga	1:1

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