Match Info

LaLiga - Round 35

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	00:30	GXR World
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Macao	03:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tanzania	22:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Las Palmas		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.9
	2.55	3.2	3	Watch
	2.57	3.22	3.1
	2.48	3.2	3.14	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.9
	2.64	3.3	3.01	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.56)	3.21 ↓ (3.32)	2.99 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
37.8%

Draw
30%

Rayo Vallecano
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

29.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.3%	11.4%	34.3%

Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Rayo Vallecano (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Las Palmas (1.79) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DNB - Las Palmas (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 7 - 46.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Horkas D. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez (C) 28. Herzog J. 3. Marmol M. 5. Javier Munoz 29. Essugo D. 21. Bajcetic S. 10. Moleiro A. 16. McBurnie O. 24. Januzaj A.	13. Batalla A. (G) 20. Balliu I. 24. Lejeune F. 5. Hernandez A. 3. Chavarria P. 23. Valentin O. 17. Lopez U. 2. Ratiu A. 7. Palazon I. 18. Garcia A. 21. Embarba A.
Substitutes
8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 1. Cillessen J. (G) 14. Fuster M. 30. Killane A. (G) 12. Loiodice E. 2. Marvin 17. Mata J. 23. Munoz A. 6. Pelmard A. 11. Ramirez B. 19. Ramirez S.	14. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 19. de Frutos J. 26. de las Sias M. 4. Diaz P. 28. Eto'o E. 27. Fernandez P. 30. Gil J. (G) 12. Guardiola S. 15. Gumbau G. 22. Pacha 8. Trejo O.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Valentin O. 🟨,
44', McBurnie O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Essugo D. 🟨,
57', Essugo D. ↓, Marvin ↑,
59', Embarba A. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
59', Lopez U. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
70', Alex Suarez ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
70', Januzaj A. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
70', Javier Munoz ↓, Campana J. ↑,
76', Palazon I. 🟨,
78', Valentin O. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
78', Ratiu A. ↓, Pacha ↑,
78', Batalla A. 🟨,
81', Bajcetic S. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
83', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.

Las Palmas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rayo Vallecano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Las Palmas: McKenna S. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Yellow Cards) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Silva F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Montiel J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
03.05.25	Las Palmas - Valencia	2:3 ✺
23.04.25	Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Getafe - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LLWWL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.25	Rayo Vallecano - Getafe	1:0 ✺
24.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valencia	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
04.04.25	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.11.24	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	1:3
20.01.24	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	0:2
22.10.23	Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.21	Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
20.12.20	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	2:0
17.07.20	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	2:2
21.12.19	Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano	1:1

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