Match Info

LaLiga - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	02:30	beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	18:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	13:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:30	TSN+
Chile	12:30	DirecTV Sports
China	00:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	00:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	18:30	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	22:00	GXR World
Indonesia	23:30	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	19:30	ONE Sport
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	19:30	Gotv
Kosovo	18:30	K Sport 2
Laos	23:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect
Maldives	21:30	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	10:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	04:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:30	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:30	CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 2
Romania	19:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
South Africa	18:30	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:30	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	00:30	DAZN
Thailand	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	19:30	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	17:30	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Vietnam	23:30	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Las Palmas		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.65
	2.6	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.92
	2.6	3.28	2.89	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.7
	2.59	3.32	3.06	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.61)	3.27 ↓ (3.54)	2.86 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
37.1%

Draw
29.4%

Valencia
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

27.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	41.2%	23.5%

Las Palmas - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 40.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.6% – 57.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Valencia (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Valencia (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Valencia (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Las Palmas (1.43) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Valencia (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Horkas D. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez (C) 3. Marmol M. 23. Munoz A. 29. Essugo D. 21. Bajcetic S. 5. Javier Munoz 10. Moleiro A. 19. Ramirez S. 16. McBurnie O.	25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 4. Diakhaby M. 3. Mosquera C. 14. Gaya J. (C) 22. Rioja L. 8. Guerra J. 18. Pepelu 16. Lopez D. 11. Mir R. 9. Duro H.
Substitutes
8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 1. Cillessen J. (G) 14. Fuster M. 28. Herzog J. 24. Januzaj A. 30. Killane A. (G) 12. Loiodice E. 2. Marvin 17. Mata J. 6. Pelmard A. 11. Ramirez B.	19. Aarons M. 46. Aleman P. 10. Almeida A. 7. Canos S. 13. Dimitrievski S. (G) 1. Domenech J. (G) 24. Gasiorowski Y. 6. Guillamon H. 17. Ivan Jaime 23. Perez F. 12. Sadiq U. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Duro H. ⚽,
26', Guerra J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Ramirez S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Essugo D. ↓, Marvin ↑,
58', Ramirez S. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Duro H. ⚽,
69', Munoz A. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
73', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
73', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
73', Mir R. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
75', Bajcetic S. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Alex Suarez (Own goal),
79', Bajcetic S. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
79', Javier Munoz ↓, Mata J. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, McBurnie O. ⚽, Campana J. (A),
84', Lopez D. ↓, Gasiorowski Y. ↑,
84', Rioja L. ↓, Perez F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3.

In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valencia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Rodriguez K. (Health problems)

There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury) Tarrega C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Health problems) Ramirez B. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
23.04.25	Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Getafe - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LWWLT
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
22.04.25	Valencia - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valencia	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.10.24	Valencia - Las Palmas	2:3
10.02.24	Las Palmas - Valencia	2:0
18.08.23	Valencia - Las Palmas	1:0
20.01.18	Las Palmas - Valencia	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
09.01.18	Valencia - Las Palmas	4:0
03.01.18	Las Palmas - Valencia	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
18.08.17	Valencia - Las Palmas	1:0

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