Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 32

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casarano		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.66	3.35	2.63
	2.85	3.23	2.34	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.59	3.37	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.84)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	2.52 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
34.8%

Draw
28.5%

Nuova Cosenza
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

27.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Casarano - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 24. Gega E. 25. Bachini M. 33. Mercadante M. 5. Celiento D. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. 11. Ferrara V. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 35. Cerbone S.	1. Pompei T. (G) 45. Ciotti P. 3. Moretti A. 26. Dametto P. 33. Ferrara A. 27. Ba R. 77. Langella C. 37. Palmieri R. 34. Florenzi A. (C) 90. Emmausso M. 9. Beretta G.
Substitutes
26. Barone A. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 98. Ferilli M. (G) 29. Gyamfi B. 64. Martina M. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A. 27. Versienti L.	23. Achour S. 20. Baez J. 7. Cannavo K. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 11. D'Orazio T. 18. Perlingieri M. 6. Pintus N. 40. Vannucchi T. (G) 22. Vettorel T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Chirico C. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Chirico C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ba R. ↓, Cannavo K. ↑,
46', Palmieri R. ↓, Contiliano N. ↑,
46', Emmausso M. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
51', Ferrara A. 🟨,
61', Cerbone S. ↓, Versienti L. ↑,
64', Gega E. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Cannavo K. ⚽,
72', Ferrara A. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
76', Grandolfo F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
82', Beretta G. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
84', Chirico C. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
84', Maiello R. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
84', Ferrara V. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
90+1', Palumbo F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Casarano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cosenza is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Last Results with these Odds

Nuova Cosenza - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
09.03.26	Monopoli - Casarano	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Casarano - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Foggia - Casarano	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWLW
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Altamura	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Potenza - Nuova Cosenza	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Sorrento	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta U23 - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	4:1

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