Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:45	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	15:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	02:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Arena 4, Net4+
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 2
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Macao	02:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+
Vietnam	01:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Genoa		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	3.05	2.98	2.58	Watch
	3.2	3.06	2.63
	7.34	3.37	1.59	Watch
	3.17	3.09	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.42)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.4 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Genoa
25.5%

Draw
32.5%

Lazio
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.9%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

28.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	33.3%	46.2%

Genoa - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). Lazio will win (votes: 18 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 30.6% – 61.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Lazio (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Genoa (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lazio (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Genoa (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 3 - 20%). Lazio (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leali N. (G) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 3. Martin A. 32. Frendrup M. 73. Masini P. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 17. Malinovskyi R. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 22. Cancellieri M. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C) 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
23. Carboni V. 70. Cornet M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 27. Marcandalli A. 34. Otoa S. 20. Sabelli S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 8. Stanciu N. 2. Thorsby M. 76. Venturino L.	71. Farcomeni V. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 66. Pinelli P. 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N.
Coaches
Wilson K.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', Vasquez J. 🟨,
4', 0 - 1, Cancellieri M. ⚽, Castellanos T. (A),
17', Norton-Cuffy B. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Castellanos T. ⚽, Marusic A. (A),
32', Marusic A. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
36', Cataldi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Masini P. 🟨,
62', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
63', 0 - 3, Zaccagni M. ⚽,
68', Vitinha ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
68', Masini P. ↓, Stanciu N. ↑,
69', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
69', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
69', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
84', Castellanos T. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
84', Gila M. ↓, Patric ↑,
84', Cataldi D. ↓, Pedro ↑,
84', Martin A. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
90+3', Ostigard L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Genoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Genoa: Junior Messias (Inactive) Onana J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Belahyane R. (Red Card) Dele-Bashiru F. (Injury) Gigot S. (Back Injury) Guendouzi M. (Red Card) Lazzari M. (Calf Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 25:45. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Genoa - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Como - Genoa	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Genoa - Juventus	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Genoa - Lecce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLT
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sassuolo - Lazio	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Lazio - Verona	4:0 ✺
24.08.25	Como - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Lazio - Atromitos Athens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.04.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:2
27.10.24	Lazio - Genoa	3:0
19.04.24	Genoa - Lazio	0:1
Coppa Italia
05.12.23	Lazio - Genoa	1:0
Italian Serie A
27.08.23	Lazio - Genoa	0:1
Club Friendly
27.07.22	Genoa - Lazio	4:1
Italian Serie A
10.04.22	Genoa - Lazio	1:4

Upcoming Matches