Match Info

Date: 21 October 2021, Thursday


	Lazio		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75
	1.98	3.5	3.7
	1.98	3.6	3.9
	1.95	3.6	3.55
	2.01	3.64	3.89
	1.9	3.7	3.75
	1.91	3.94	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)	3.65 ↓ (3.68)	3.85 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
49%

Draw
26.2%

Olympique Marseille
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	13.9%	6.6%

Lazio - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (132 of 166 users predict this - 79.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 85.66%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Lazio has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (48%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a chance of 3rd (18%), has a good chance of round of 16 (61%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Marseille has currently - 2, has a chance of 1st (21%), has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a chance of 3rd (36%), has a chance of round of 16 (31%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lazio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marseille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lazio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
16.10.21	Lazio - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
03.10.21	Bologna - Lazio	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.09.21	Lazio - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
26.09.21	Lazio - Roma	3:2 ✺
23.09.21	Torino - Lazio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWT
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
17.10.21	Olympique Marseille - Lorient	4:1 ✺
03.10.21	Lille - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.09.21	Olympique Marseille - Galatasaray	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
26.09.21	Olympique Marseille - Lens	2:3 ✺
22.09.21	Angers - Olympique Marseille	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.11.18	Lazio - Olympique Marseille	2:1
25.10.18	Olympique Marseille - Lazio	1:3

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