Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira)


	Leça		Vila Real

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.35	7.5
	1.29	4.79	8.02
	1.33	4.68	7.84	Watch
	1.33	4.2	7.5
	1.39	4.85	6.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	4.57 ↑ (3.95)	7.45 ↑ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
68%

Draw
19.8%

Vila Real
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.9%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.9%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Leça - Vila Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Leça is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

Vila Real is Relegated to

In recent matches, Leça has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vila Real's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Leça is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leça won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leça won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Leça - Aparecida	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Resende - Leça	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Leça - Salgueiros 08	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Beira-Mar - Leça	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTWT
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Vila Real - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Vila Real - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Aparecida - Vila Real	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vila Real - Resende	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.11.25	Vila Real - Leça	0:0
03.04.21	Vila Real - Leça	2:2
17.02.21	Leça - Vila Real	2:0
12.01.20	Leça - Vila Real	3:0

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