Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)


	Le Havre		Laval

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	6	Watch
	1.7	3.1	6.25
	1.62	3.3	6.4
	1.68	3.05	6
	1.72	3.25	6.71
	1.65	3.1	6.5
	1.7	3.34	5.9	Watch
	1.7	3.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	3.19 ↓ (3.65)	6.27 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
55.7%

Draw
29.4%

Laval
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	4.3%	8.7%

Le Havre - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Havre will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 14).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (70.88%), has project points - 75, has currently - 52, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (91%), has a good chance of win league (71%).

Laval has the most likely position - 15 (14.08%), has project points - 44, has currently - 31, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 64, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 4.

Le Havre is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Laval is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Grenoble - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Le Havre - Niort	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Sochaux - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
31.01.23	Bordeaux - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTTW
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Laval - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Pau - Laval	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Laval - Annecy	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Valenciennes - Laval	3:1 ✺
31.01.23	Laval - Dijon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.08.22	Laval - Le Havre	1:3
Club Friendly
09.07.19	Le Havre - Laval	2:1
French Ligue 2
07.04.17	Le Havre - Laval	2:0
04.11.16	Laval - Le Havre	0:2
Club Friendly
22.07.16	Laval - Le Havre	1:1
French Ligue 2
01.04.16	Le Havre - Laval	2:0
06.11.15	Laval - Le Havre	0:1

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