Match Info

Serie A - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1, Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Lazio		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	5.25	Watch
	1.78	3.35	5.4	Watch
	1.64	3.85	6.33
	1.66	3.69	5.62	Watch
	1.82	3.5	5.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)	3.53 ↓ (3.67)	5.62 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
55.5%

Draw
27.4%

Lecce
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

25.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	10.4%	10.4%

Lazio - Lecce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lecce (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lazio (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Lazio (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (38 of 48 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.68% – 90.66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 18. Isaksen G. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 20. Ramadani Y. 7. Tete Morente 10. Berisha M. 23. Sottil R. 22. Camarda F.
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N. 5. Vecino M.	19. Banda L. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 14. Helgason T. J. 77. Kaba M. 21. Kouassi C. 80. Kovac N. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 50. Pierotti S. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 9. Stulic N.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Guendouzi M. ⚽, Basic T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cataldi D. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
46', Berisha M. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
46', Camarda F. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
63', Sottil R. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
75', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
76', Coulibaly L. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
76', Tete Morente ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
79', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
82', Ndri K. 🟨,
82', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
87', Dia B. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
87', Gila M. ↓, Patric ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Noslin T. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lazio is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Muscle Injury) Castellanos T. (Thigh Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (Hamstring Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Pierret B. (Muscle Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Lazio - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Pisa - Lazio	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lazio - Juventus	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWT
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
08.11.25	Lecce - Verona	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fiorentina - Lecce	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Lecce - Napoli	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Udinese - Lecce	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.05.25	Lazio - Lecce	0:1
21.12.24	Lecce - Lazio	1:2
14.01.24	Lazio - Lecce	1:0
20.08.23	Lecce - Lazio	2:1
12.05.23	Lazio - Lecce	2:2
04.01.23	Lecce - Lazio	2:1
07.07.20	Lecce - Lazio	2:1

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