Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 14

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Milan		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.6	6.5
	1.45	4.65	6.8	Watch
	1.48	4.75	7
	1.49	4.75	6.73
	1.36	4.8	7.5
	1.45	4.7	7.1	Watch
	1.47	4.8	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.32)	4.69 ↓ (5.18)	6.84 ↓ (9.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
65.7%

Draw
20.3%

Frosinone
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

18.3%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

17.6%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	3.8%	19.2%

Milan - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). Frosinone will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 65.4% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 23. Tomori F. 19. Hernandez T. 42. Florenzi A. 80. Musah Y. 14. Reijnders T. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 21. Chukwueze S. 15. Jovic L. 11. Pulisic C.	80. Turati S. (G) 30. Monterisi I. 5. Okoli C. 6. Romagnoli S. (C) 22. Oyono A. 24. Bourabia M. 45. Barrenechea E. 18. Soule M. 12. Reinier 27. Ibrahimovic A. 11. Cuni M.
Substitutes
7. Adli Y. 95. Bartesaghi D. 4. Bennacer I. 73. Camarda F. 74. Jimenez A. 33. Krunic R. 83. Mirante A. (G) 69. Nava L. (G) 32. Pobega T. 18. Romero L. 82. Simic J. 70. Traore C.	7. Baez J. 4. Brescianini M. 10. Caso G. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 70. Cheddira W. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 14. Gelli F. 9. Kaio Jorge 17. Kvernadze G. 8. Lulic K. 47. Lusuardi M.
Coaches
Pioli S.	Di Francesco E.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: ) and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Frosinone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Milan have a series of home games.

In this match Milan is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Caldara M. (Ankle Injury) Kalulu P. (Knee Injury) Pellegrino M. (Leg Injury) Thiaw M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Frosinone: Harroui A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Kjaer S. (Muscle Injury) Leao R. (Muscle Injury) Okafor N. (Injury) Sportiello M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Kalaj S. (Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Milan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
UEFA Champions League
28.11.23	Milan - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Milan - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Lecce - Milan	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Milan - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
04.11.23	Milan - Udinese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
26.11.23	Frosinone - Genoa	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Inter Milan - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Frosinone - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Torino - Frosinone	1:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
29.10.23	Cagliari - Frosinone	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.05.19	Milan - Frosinone	2:0
26.12.18	Frosinone - Milan	0:0
01.05.16	Milan - Frosinone	3:3
20.12.15	Frosinone - Milan	2:4

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