Match Info

Date: 3 December 2021, Friday


	Perugia		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	1.95	3.1	4.3
	1.93	3.1	4.2
	1.98	3.23	4.67
	1.95	3.25	4
	1.96	3.24	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.82)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	4.27 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
48.2%

Draw
29.8%

Vicenza Virtus
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.8%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

22.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Perugia - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Perugia has the most likely position - 14 (9.49%), has project points - 51, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Perugia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vicenza Virtus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.11.21	Pisa - Perugia	1:1 ✺
27.11.21	Perugia - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Perugia - Crotone	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.21	Empoli - Perugia	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
06.11.21	Como - Perugia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWTL
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
30.11.21	Vicenza Virtus - Benevento	2:3 ✺
26.11.21	Crotone - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	Vicenza Virtus - Brescia	2:3 ✺
06.11.21	Ascoli - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
01.11.21	Parma - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

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