Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday


	Pordenone		Lecce

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.72	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.75
	4.75	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.79
	4.93	3.55	1.83
	4.5	3.4	1.78
	4.55	3.7	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.4)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	1.78 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
20.2%

Draw
27.1%

Lecce
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pordenone's form might have worsened.

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pordenone - Lecce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (43.81%), has project points - 27, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (23.91%), has project points - 68, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Recent matches Pordenone is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lecce is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lecce will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.12.21	Crotone - Pordenone	4:1 ✺
11.12.21	Pordenone - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
04.12.21	Benevento - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
30.11.21	Pordenone - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Frosinone - Pordenone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWT
- US Lecce
Coppa Italia
16.12.21	Spezia - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
11.12.21	Pisa - Lecce	1:0 ✺
04.12.21	Lecce - Reggina	2:0 ✺
30.11.21	SPAL - Lecce	1:3 ✺
26.11.21	Lecce - Ternana	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.01.21	Pordenone - Lecce	1:1
26.09.20	Lecce - Pordenone	0:0
Coppa Italia
12.08.17	Pordenone - Lecce	3:2

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