Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 3

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Poznan (Poznań)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lech Poznań		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.20	5.00	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.00
	1.60	4.00	5.10
	1.59	4.48	5.40
	1.58	4.4	5.31	Watch
	1.55	4.40	5.30
	1.55	4.25	5.17	Watch
	1.56	4.20	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)	4.28 ↑ (3.77)	5.16 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
59.9%

Draw
21.9%

Piast Gliwice
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	9.5%	0%

Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 27. Monka W. 15. Gurgul M. 10. Walemark P. 22. Murawski R. (C) 43. Kozubal A. 11. Hakans D. 7. Agnero Y. 77. Palma L.	75. Gril D. (G) 28. Borowski F. 5. Juande 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 36. Lewicki J. 17. Boisgard Q. 27. Labojko J. 31. Lesniak O. 90. Lima I. 19. Ntamack S. 80. Vallejo H.
Substitutes
53. Delikat K. 20. Gumny R. 9. Ishak M. 90. Janyszka H. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 31. Obremski W. (G) 21. Rodriguez P. 17. Sayyadmanesh A. 56. Szymczak W. 59. Yegbe T.	7. Felix J. 3. Fikaj E. 10. Katsantonis A. 91. Kucharski M. 98. Lokilo J. 18. Maziarz O. 12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 77. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 11. Sanca L. 99. Twumasi E.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kozubal A. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
56', Boisgard Q. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
56', Borowski F. ↓, Twumasi E. ↑,
57', Lima I. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
61', Walemark P. ↓, Sayyadmanesh A. ↑,
61', Agnero Y. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Hakans D. (A),
66', Twumasi E. 🟨,
71', Ishak M. 🟨,
77', Czerwinski J. ↓, Fikaj E. ↑,
78', Sanca L. 🟨,
78', Hakans D. ↓, Delikat K. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Delikat K. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
81', Palma L. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
84', Ntamack S. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Sayyadmanesh A. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lech is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lech: Bengtsson L. (Inactive) Douglas A. (Ribs Injury) Gholizadeh A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Piast: Plach F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Lech Poznan: 47.5% Piast Gliwice: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lech Poznan	9	7	1	1	21:8	13	22
9	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16:15	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Lech Poznań - KÍ Klaksvík	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.08.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Lech Poznań - AGF Aarhus	1:5 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	AGF Aarhus - Lech Poznań	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLTW
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.08.26	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Kraków	4:3 ✺
27.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Piast Gliwice - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
01.07.26	GKS Katowice - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
15.02.26	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	3:0
03.02.26	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:0
Polish Cup
03.12.25	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	0:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	1:0
29.11.24	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	0:0
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.12.23	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	0:1

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