Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 16

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.95	3.65
	1.78	4.09	3.48
	1.72	4.13	3.70	Watch
	1.7	3.92	3.87	Watch
	1.71	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
52.6%

Draw
22.6%

Mławianka Mława
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

23.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

20.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Bogus B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 0 - 1, Stryjewski Ma. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Rogalski S. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Tkaczyk J. ⚽,
87', Stryjewski Ma. 🟨,
90+4', Dunajski A. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 3, Pyrdol P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Tomaszów Mazowiecki is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLL
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.25	Mławianka Mława - Widzew Łódź II	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	3:3
26.10.24	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0
27.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1
30.09.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	2:1
11.03.23	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	6:0
13.08.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:3

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