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Leganés - Atlético Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 20
  • Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)
  • Referee: Melero M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Leganés Atlético Madrid
    Leganés Atlético Madrid
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 7 4 1.5 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    Bwin 7 4 1.51
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    Bet_in_Asia 7.14 4.21 1.47
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    Bovada 7.5 4.2 1.5
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 7.27 ↓
    (7.56)    		 4.13 ↓
    (4.3)    		 1.5 ↑
    (1.47)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)
  • Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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    Current Win Probability

    Leganés
    13.2%    		Draw
    23.2%    		Atlético Madrid
    63.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    12.6% 22.2% 65.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    12.1% 21.3% 68%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    10.3% 16.2% 73.5%

    Leganés - Atlético Madrid Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 7 - 10.3%). Atlético will win (votes: 50 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 63% – 84%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SerbiaDmitrovic M. (G)
    12. FranceRosier V.
      5. PeruTapia R.
      6. SpainGonzalez S. (C)
    22. SerbiaNastasic M.
    20. SpainHernandez J.
    10. SpainRaba D.
      8. GuineaCisse S.
    17. CameroonNeyou Y.
    11. SpainCruz J.
      9. Spainde la Fuente M.
    		13. SloveniaOblak J. (C)
    16. ArgentinaMolina N.
    24. SpainLe Normand R.
    15. FranceLenglet C.
    21. SpainGalan J.
    22. ArgentinaSimeone G.
      5. Argentinade Paul R.
      8. SpainBarrios P.
      4. EnglandGallagher C.
      7. FranceGriezmann A.
    19. ArgentinaAlvarez J.
    Substitutes
      2. SpainAltimira A.
    36. SpainAlvin (G)
    28. SpainBachiller I.
    14. SerbiaBrasanac D.
    24. ArgentinaChicco J.
    19. SpainGarcia D.
    27. SpainGarcia N.
    21. SpainLopez R.
    23. MoroccoMunir El Haddadi
      4. EcuadorPorozo J.
    37. SpainRuiz G. (G)
      3. SpainSaenz J.
    		  3. SpainAzpilicueta C.
    10. ArgentinaCorrea A.
    31. SpainGomis A. (G)
      6. SpainKoke
    27. GreeceKostis I.
    11. FranceLemar T.
    12. BrazilLino S.
    14. SpainLlorente M.
    23. MozambiqueMandava R.
      1. ArgentinaMusso J. (G)
    32. SpainNino A.
    20. BelgiumWitsel A.
    Coaches
         SpainJimenez B.
    		     ArgentinaSimeone D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 43', Barrios P. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
    • 46', Gallagher C. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
    • 50', 1 - 0, Nastasic M. ⚽, Raba D. (A),
    • 57', Galan J. 🟨,
    • 60', Barrios P. ↓, Koke ↑,
    • 60', Molina N. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
    • 65', Simeone G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
    • 70', Lenglet C. 🟨,
    • 72', Tapia R. ↓, Saenz J. ↑,
    • 79', Galan J. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
    • 80', Raba D. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
    • 85', de la Fuente M. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
    • 90', Griezmann A. (Pen),
    • 90', Neyou Y. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 0.
  • Leganés is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
  • Atlético is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
  • Recently Leganés have a series of guest games.
  • In this match Atlético is the unquestionable favorite.
  • There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Soriano J. (Red Card)
  • There will not play in Atlético: Sorloth A. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Leganés: Saenz J. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury) Lenglet C. (Injury)
  • Last 10 head-to-head matches Leganés won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:13 (average 0.2:1.3).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.2:0.6).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - CD Leganés
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    15.01.25 Almería - Leganés 2:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.01.25 Espanyol - Leganés 1:1 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    05.01.25 Cartagena - Leganés 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    22.12.24 Leganés - Villarreal 2:5 ✺
    15.12.24 Barcelona - Leganés 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.3
    WTWLW
    - Atlético Madrid
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    15.01.25 Elche - Atlético Madrid 0:4 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    12.01.25 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    04.01.25 Marbella - Atlético Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    21.12.24 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 1:2 ✺
    15.12.24 Atlético Madrid - Getafe 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4
    WWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    20.10.24 Atlético Madrid - Leganés 3:1
    26.01.20 Atlético Madrid - Leganés 0:0
    25.08.19 Leganés - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    09.03.19 Atlético Madrid - Leganés 1:0
    03.11.18 Leganés - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    28.02.18 Atlético Madrid - Leganés 4:0
    30.09.17 Leganés - Atlético Madrid 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - CD Leganés
    Spanish LaLiga2
    11.10.26 Almería - Leganés ✺
    - Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Atlético Madrid - Manchester United ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid ✺

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