Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 18

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Leganés		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.87
	4.33	3.6	1.88	Watch
	4.63	3.63	1.86
	4.58	3.59	1.86	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.85
	4.63	3.73	1.88	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.88)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	1.87 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
21.7%

Draw
26.8%

Villarreal
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

27%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.8%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.9%	14.9%	70.2%

Leganés - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 7 - 14.9%). Villarreal will win (votes: 33 - 70.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 57.1% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 2. Altimira A. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 3. Saenz J. 22. Nastasic M. 20. Hernandez J. 10. Raba D. 17. Neyou Y. 8. Cisse S. 7. Rodriguez O. 9. de la Fuente M.	1. Junior Reis (G) 17. Kiko Femenia 3. Albiol R. (C) 2. Costa L. 23. Cardona S. 21. Pino Y. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 6. Suarez D. 16. Baena A. 15. Barry T.
Substitutes
28. Bachiller I. 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 11. Cruz J. 19. Garcia D. 27. Garcia N. 18. Haller S. 21. Lopez R. 23. Munir El Haddadi 4. Porozo J. 12. Rosier V. 1. Soriano J. (G)	4. Bailly E. 12. Bernat J. 33. Cabanes P. 36. Etta Eyong 8. Foyth J. 55. Gomez R. (G) 7. Moreno G. 26. Navarro P. 10. Parejo D.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Cisse S. ⚽, de la Fuente M. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Barry T. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Raba D. (Pen),
45+2', 2 - 2, Barry T. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Suarez D. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
46', Costa L. ↓, Navarro P. ↑,
52', Nastasic M. ↓, Rosier V. ↑,
58', Rodriguez O. 🟥,
58', Pino Y. 🟨,
63', de la Fuente M. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
63', Raba D. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
65', 2 - 3, Barry T. ⚽,
67', Pino Y. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,
74', Hernandez J. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
76', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
77', Saenz J. 🟥,
79', Barry T. 🟨,
83', Kiko Femenia ↓, Foyth J. ↑,
90+1', Altimira A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 4, Moreno G. (Pen),
90+8', 2 - 5, Cabanes P. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1.

Recent matches Leganés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villarreal is a favorite.

There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Tapia R. (Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Conde D. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Red Card) Pedraza A. (Injury) Pepe N. (Thigh Injury) Perez A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Cruz J. (Ankle Injury) Munir El Haddadi (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Terrats R. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leganés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
15.12.24	Barcelona - Leganés	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Leganés - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Estepona - Leganés	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Deportivo Alavés - Leganés	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Leganés - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.7 WLWTL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
18.12.24	Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Villarreal - Betis	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Pontevedra - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.24	Villarreal - Girona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.03.20	Villarreal - Leganés	1:2
14.09.19	Leganés - Villarreal	0:3
21.04.19	Villarreal - Leganés	2:1
16.09.18	Leganés - Villarreal	0:1
17.04.18	Villarreal - Leganés	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
10.01.18	Villarreal - Leganés	2:1
04.01.18	Leganés - Villarreal	1:0

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