Match Info

Date: 4 April 2022, Monday


	Leganés		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.87	3.1	4.9	Watch
	1.89	3.1	4.4
	1.93	3.2	5.02
	1.8	3.2	5	Watch
	1.92	3.24	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	4.67 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
49.9%

Draw
30.1%

Fuenlabrada
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

29.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

29.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+4%)

Leganés - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Leganés has the most likely position - 14 (11.09%), has project points - 55, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (38.54%), has project points - 39, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (88%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 26, small importance 20, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 0.

Recent matches Leganés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fuenlabrada is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leganés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leganés is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Leganés won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	4:2 ✺
20.03.22	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Ibiza - Leganés	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Leganés - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Leganés - Girona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.22	Real Oviedo - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
19.03.22	Fuenlabrada - Málaga	1:0 ✺
11.03.22	Zaragoza - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Fuenlabrada - Burgos	1:2 ✺
25.02.22	Almería - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.21	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	2:1
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Leganés - Fuenlabrada	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
20.03.21	Leganés - Fuenlabrada	0:2
02.01.21	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	0:0
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Leganés - Fuenlabrada	2:0
22.07.17	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	0:1
27.07.16	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	1:3

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