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Current Win Probability
Legia Warsaw 34.6%
Draw 28%
Spartak Moscow 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
28.3%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
20.4%
53.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.6%
16.7%
68.7%
Legia Warsaw - Spartak Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
96 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 14 - 14.6%). Spartak M will win (votes: 66 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak M: 59.5% – 78.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Legia has a small chance of round of 16 (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 6, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a chance of 2nd (39%), has a very small chance of 3rd (<1%).
Spartak M has a chance of round of 16 (31%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (20%), has a chance of 3rd (23%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Legia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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