Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Newcastle United		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.25	9.5	Watch
	1.27	6.5	10
	1.27	6.6	11	Watch
	1.28	6.44	10.5
	1.29	6.37	10.29	Watch
	1.29	6	9.5
	1.3	6.57	9.35	Watch
	1.28	6.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.35)	6.39 ↑ (5.46)	10.14 ↑ (8.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
75.4%

Draw
15.1%

Leicester City
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

17.6%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

17%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.4%	11.6%	20.9%

Newcastle United - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 29 - 67.4%). Leicester will win (votes: 9 - 20.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 53.4% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 21. Livramento V. 5. Schar F. 33. Burn D. 20. Hall L. 8. Tonali S. 39. Guimaraes B. (C) 7. Joelinton 23. Murphy J. 14. Isak A. 10. Gordon A.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 4. Coady C. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 17. Choudhury H. 22. Skipp O. 35. McAteer K. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)
Substitutes
24. Almiron M. 11. Barnes H. 25. Kelly L. 36. Longstaff S. 18. Osula W. 13. Targett M. 2. Trippier K. 19. Vlachodimos O. (G) 28. Willock J.	18. Ayew J. 40. Buonanotte F. 49. Cartwright H. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 3. Faes W. 5. Okoli C. 33. Thomas L. 1. Ward D. (G)
Coaches
Howe E.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Skipp O. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Murphy J. ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
35', Murphy J. 🟨,
39', Guimaraes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Hermansen M. ↓, Ward D. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Guimaraes B. ⚽, Hall L. (A),
50', 3 - 0, Isak A. ⚽, Hall L. (A),
59', Mavididi S. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
59', Choudhury H. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
59', Vardy J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
60', 4 - 0, Murphy J. ⚽, Isak A. (A),
65', Murphy J. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
65', Guimaraes B. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
65', Livramento V. ↓, Trippier K. ↑,
71', Joelinton 🟨,
73', Isak A. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
81', Gordon A. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
82', El Khannouss B. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
90+2', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
90+6', Okoli C. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 3.

Recent matches Newcastle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leicester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Newcastle is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Krafth E. (Shoulder Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury) Wilson C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury) Soumare B. (Yellow Cards) Stolarczyk J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Pope N. (Knee Injury) Willock J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Winks H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 19:33 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
07.12.24	Brentford - Newcastle United	4:2 ✺
04.12.24	Newcastle United - Liverpool	3:3 ✺
30.11.24	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Newcastle United - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTLW
- Leicester City
English Premier League
08.12.24	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
03.12.24	Leicester City - West Ham United	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Brentford - Leicester City	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.05.23	Newcastle United - Leicester City	0:0
English League Cup
10.01.23	Newcastle United - Leicester City	2:0
English Premier League
26.12.22	Leicester City - Newcastle United	0:3
17.04.22	Newcastle United - Leicester City	2:1
12.12.21	Leicester City - Newcastle United	4:0
07.05.21	Leicester City - Newcastle United	2:4
03.01.21	Newcastle United - Leicester City	1:2

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