Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	01:00	Stan Sport
Azerbaijan	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	16:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Ireland	15:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Italy	16:00	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Moldova	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	20:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	16:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
International	14:00	Sport 24 At Sea


	Manchester City		Everton

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	8.5
	1.48	4.65	6.7
	1.45	4.59	9
	1.65	3.21	6.80	Watch
	1.44	4.42	9.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)	4.24 ↓ (4.86)	8.03 ↑ (7.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
65.1%

Draw
22.8%

Everton
12.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68%

19.7%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	11.2%	1.2%

Manchester City - Everton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Everton (1.68) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Man City (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (70 of 79 users predict this - 88.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 95.62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 22 - 88%). Everton (votes: 3 - 12%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 3. Dias R. (C) 6. Ake N. 33. O'Reilly N. 14. Nico 26. Savinho 4. Reijnders T. 47. Foden P. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.	1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 24. Alcaraz C. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Ndiaye I. 9. Beto
Substitutes
52. Bobb O. 10. Cherki R. 24. Gvardiol J. 8. Kovacic M. 82. Lewis R. 7. Marmoush O. 20. Silva B. 5. Stones J. 1. Trafford J. (G)	39. Aznou A. 11. Barry T. 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 31. King T. (G) 7. McNeil D. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Garner J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Haaland E. ⚽, O'Reilly N. (A),
60', Doku J. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
60', Reijnders T. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Haaland E. ⚽, Savinho (A),
71', Gueye I. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
71', Alcaraz C. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
76', Beto ↓, Barry T. ↑,
85', O'Reilly N. ↓, Lewis R. ↑,
86', Savinho ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
86', Nico ↓, Kovacic M. ↑,
87', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
87', Ndiaye I. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
90+6', Dibling T. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4.

Man City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Everton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Man City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Man City is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (Ankle Injury) Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Grealish J. (Loan agreement)

There are questionable in Man City: Marmoush O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Keane M. (Ribs Injury)

We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man City won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:15. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
05.10.25	Brentford - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Monaco - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Manchester City - Burnley	5:1 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.25	Huddersfield Town - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.09.25	Arsenal - Manchester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWT
- Everton
English Premier League
05.10.25	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Everton - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Liverpool - Everton	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
19.04.25	Everton - Manchester City	0:2
26.12.24	Manchester City - Everton	1:1
10.02.24	Manchester City - Everton	2:0
27.12.23	Everton - Manchester City	1:3
14.05.23	Everton - Manchester City	0:3
31.12.22	Manchester City - Everton	1:1
26.02.22	Everton - Manchester City	0:1

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