Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Leicester City		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	5.75	Watch
	1.56	4.13	5.87	Watch
	1.59	4.2	5.9
	1.19	6.13	16.13	Watch
	1.57	3.92	5.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)	4.48 ↑ (3.8)	7.87 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
65.8%

Draw
21.8%

Portsmouth
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leicester City's performance.

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portsmouth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portsmouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	10.3%	3.4%

Leicester City - Portsmouth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Leicester (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leicester City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 6. James J. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 30. Ramsey A. 28. Monga J. 18. Carranza J.	26. Bursik J. (G) 2. Williams J. 4. Knight J. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 7. Pack M. (C) 21. Dozzell A. 36. Chaplin C. 8. Swift J. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
9. Ayew J. 31. Begovic A. (G) 17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O. 24. Soumare B. 39. Thomas S.	11. Bianchini F. 24. Devlin T. 30. Killip B. (G) 25. Kirk M. 18. Kosznovszky M. 16. Le Roux L. 14. Matthews H. 10. Segecic A. 22. Swanson Z.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Pereira R. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Ramsey A. ⚽, Fatawu I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Swift J. ⚽, Yang Min-Hyuk (A),
59', Monga J. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
59', Carranza J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
61', Chaplin C. ↓, Kosznovszky M. ↑,
64', Pereira R. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
71', Yang Min-Hyuk 🟨,
72', James J. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
72', Ramsey A. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
74', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
81', Swift J. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
81', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
87', Dozzell A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Leicester is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Aluko O. (Injury) Mavididi S. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J. (Ankle Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
04.10.25	Swansea City - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Leicester City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Leicester City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Oxford United - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTTT
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
04.10.25	Portsmouth - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Portsmouth - Watford	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Southampton - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLLT

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