Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Hull City		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2.01	Watch
	3.35	3.69	2.07	Watch
	3.51	3.67	2.14
	3.48	3.46	2.05	Watch
	3.32	3.44	2.1	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.8)	3.55 ↑ (3.45)	2.12 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
28.5%

Draw
26.7%

Leicester City
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.9%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leicester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	25%	54.2%

Hull City - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Leicester will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Leicester (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leicester City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 18. Drameh C. 6. Ajayi S. 4. Hughes C. (C) 3. Giles R. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 27. Slater R. 21. Gelhardt J. 25. Crooks M. 7. Millar L. 22. Joseph K.	1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 17. Choudhury H. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 6. James J. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 24. Soumare B. 9. Ayew J. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
11. Akintola B. 2. Coyle L. 39. Destan E. 15. Egan J. 23. Famewo A. 24. Gyabi D. 58. McCarthy C. 19. Ndala J. 12. Phillips D. (G)	31. Begovic A. (G) 18. Carranza J. 16. Kristiansen V. 28. Monga J. 5. Okoli C. 21. Pereira R. 30. Ramsey A. 22. Skipp O. 39. Thomas S.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Millar L. ⚽, Gelhardt J. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Gelhardt J. ⚽, Giles R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', James J. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
46', Daka P. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
52', Gelhardt J. 🟨,
59', Giles R. ↓, Famewo A. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Ramsey A. ⚽, Ayew J. (A),
73', Thomas L. 🟨,
73', Joseph K. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
73', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
77', Choudhury H. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
77', Thomas L. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
85', Gelhardt J. ↓, Ndala J. ↑,
85', Slater R. ↓, Egan J. ↑,
88', Faes W. ↓, Kristiansen V. ↑,
90+8', Choudhury H. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 2.

Hull is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leicester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leicester might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Lundstram J. (Calf Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Leicester: Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Mavididi S. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hull City - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
18.10.25	Birmingham City - Hull City	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Hull City - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
30.09.25	Hull City - Preston North End	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Watford - Hull City	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Hull City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWTLW
- Leicester City
English League Championship
18.10.25	Leicester City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Swansea City - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Leicester City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Leicester City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.03.24	Hull City - Leicester City	2:2
02.09.23	Leicester City - Hull City	0:1
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Hull City - Leicester City	0:4
English Premier League
04.03.17	Leicester City - Hull City	3:1
13.08.16	Hull City - Leicester City	2:1
English League Cup
27.10.15	Hull City - Leicester City	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
14.03.15	Leicester City - Hull City	0:0

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