Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Optus Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	03:00	MyTV
Canada	15:00	fubo Sports Network
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 7, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	20:00	Siminn Sport
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	Tubi TV
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Leicester City		Brentford

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.95
	3.6	3.9	2.02
	3.75	3.86	1.99
	3.72	3.87	1.99	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.95
	3.6	3.91	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.9	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.35)	3.86 ↑ (3.84)	1.99 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
26.6%

Draw
25%

Brentford
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.1%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

22.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	15.5%	63.1%

Leicester City - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 17 - 20.7%). Brentford will win (votes: 52 - 63.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 53% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 25. Coulibaly W. 3. Faes W. 5. Okoli C. 16. Kristiansen V. 6. Ndidi W. 24. Soumare B. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Ayew J. 9. Vardy J. (C)	1. Flekken M. (G) 20. Ajer K. 22. Collins N. 5. Pinnock E. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 6. Norgaard C. (C) 27. Janelt V. 19. Mbeumo B. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 11. Wissa Y.
Substitutes
40. Buonanotte F. 4. Coady C. 20. Daka P. 10. Mavididi S. 22. Skipp O. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 33. Thomas L. 23. Vestergaard J. 8. Winks H.	14. Carvalho F. 33. Kayode M. 36. Kim Ji-Soo 26. Konak Y. E. 32. Maghoma P. 16. Mee B. 40. Morgan I. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 18. Yarmolyuk Y.
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Wissa Y. ⚽, Damsgaard M. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Damsgaard M. (A),
28', De Cordova-Reid B. 🟨,
32', 0 - 3, Norgaard C. ⚽, Mbeumo B. (A),
42', Coulibaly W. 🟨,
45', Okoli C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
46', Coulibaly W. ↓, Vestergaard J. ↑,
46', Norgaard C. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
55', Ayew J. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
67', Buonanotte F. 🟨,
72', Damsgaard M. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,
73', Janelt V. ↓, Maghoma P. ↑,
77', Ndidi W. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
83', Okoli C. ↓, Coady C. ↑,
84', Ajer K. ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
87', Schade K. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
89', 0 - 4, Carvalho F. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 2.

Leicester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brentford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brentford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brentford will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Gustavo Nunes (Back Injury) Henry R. (Thigh Injury) Hickey A. (Hamstring Injury) Thiago I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Justin J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: van den Berg S. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leicester won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
15.02.25	Leicester City - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.25	Manchester United - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
01.02.25	Everton - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Leicester City - Fulham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLLWL
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
15.02.25	West Ham United - Brentford	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Brentford - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Brentford - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.11.24	Brentford - Leicester City	4:1
18.03.23	Brentford - Leicester City	1:1
07.08.22	Leicester City - Brentford	2:2
20.03.22	Leicester City - Brentford	2:1
24.10.21	Brentford - Leicester City	1:2
English FA Cup
24.01.21	Brentford - Leicester City	1:3
25.01.20	Brentford - Leicester City	0:1

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